The public often underestimates the Washington Commanders in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as underdog, the Washington Commanders hold a record of 32-22-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +13.1% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $7 over this period.

✅ Profitable
Record32-22-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size54 games
ROI+13.1%
Units Won+7.1u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-6-00.0%-72.7%
20153-2-00.0%+14.6%
20163-0-00.0%+90.9%
20173-2-00.0%+14.6%
20185-2-00.0%+36.4%
20194-2-00.0%+27.3%
20203-2-00.0%+14.6%
20214-1-00.0%+52.7%
20223-1-00.0%+43.2%
20231-3-00.0%-52.3%
20242-1-00.0%+27.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Commanders' strong performance as underdogs stems from their organizational DNA as a franchise that thrives when expectations are lowered. This team has historically played with more urgency and focus when written off, likely due to the psychological relief of reduced pressure and media scrutiny that comes with underdog status. Washington's coaching staff has consistently prepared better game plans when facing superior opponents, often employing more aggressive play-calling and creative schemes that catch favored teams off-guard. The franchise's culture of resilience, forged through years of adversity and ownership turmoil, has created a roster mentality where players perform better when their backs are against the wall. This psychological edge becomes particularly pronounced in divisional games where familiarity breeds competitive balance, regardless of perceived talent gaps. The team's defensive units have shown a pattern of elevating their play against higher-ranked offenses, while their offensive coordinators have historically been more willing to take calculated risks when not expected to win. Bettors should target Washington as underdogs specifically in divisional matchups and primetime games where the psychological factors are most amplified. This trend carries the most weight when the Commanders are catching more than a field goal at home against NFC East rivals.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Washington Commanders's ATS record as as underdog?

The Washington Commanders have a 32-22-0 ATS record as underdogs from 2014-2024. This gives them a strong 59.3% ATS win rate when not favored to win.

Is betting on the Washington Commanders as as underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Washington Commanders as underdogs has been profitable with a 13.1% ROI. Their 59.3% ATS success rate as underdogs significantly exceeds the break-even point needed for profitability.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Commanders' 59.3% ATS rate as underdogs is well above the typical 50% league average. This makes them one of the more reliable underdog bets in the NFL over this timeframe.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.