The data suggests caution when backing the Washington Commanders in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as sunday games, the Washington Commanders are just 45-55-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -14.1% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +14.1%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record45-55-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size100 games
ROI-14.1%
Units Won-14.1u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20144-9-00.0%-41.3%
20154-7-00.0%-30.6%
20163-1-00.0%+43.2%
20176-7-00.0%-11.9%
20187-5-00.0%+11.4%
20194-5-00.0%-15.2%
20205-2-00.0%+36.4%
20214-4-00.0%-4.5%
20225-3-00.0%+19.3%
20231-7-00.0%-76.1%
20242-5-00.0%-45.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Commanders' Sunday struggles stem from a perfect storm of organizational instability and tactical limitations that become magnified under the bright lights of primetime and nationally televised games. Washington's frequent coaching changes and front office turnover since 2014 have created a culture where players struggle to execute game plans consistently when the stakes feel highest. Sunday games often carry more weight in terms of playoff implications and media attention, exposing the team's tendency to play tight and make costly mistakes in crucial moments. The franchise's quarterback carousel has been particularly damaging on Sundays, as inconsistent signal-caller play becomes amplified when facing better-prepared opponents who've had extra time to study film. Washington's defensive schemes have also shown a pattern of breaking down against teams that use the extended preparation time effectively, particularly struggling with their secondary coverage in high-pressure situations. Smart bettors should be especially cautious when backing Washington on Sundays against divisional rivals or in games with significant playoff implications. The psychological weight of these contests consistently brings out the worst in a franchise still searching for its identity, making them a fade candidate when the spotlight burns brightest and the margin for error shrinks.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Washington Commanders's ATS record as sunday games?

The Washington Commanders have a 45-55-0 ATS record in Sunday games from 2014-2024, covering the spread 45% of the time. This represents 100 total Sunday games over the 11-year period.

Is betting on the Washington Commanders as sunday games profitable?

No, betting on the Washington Commanders in Sunday games has not been profitable, showing a -14.1% ROI. A bettor would have lost approximately $14 for every $100 wagered over this timeframe.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Commanders' 45% ATS win rate in Sunday games is below the typical 50% league average expected for spread betting. Their -14.1% ROI significantly underperforms compared to the theoretical break-even point.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.