The public often underestimates the Washington Commanders in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as primetime underdog, the Washington Commanders hold a record of 32-22-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +13.1% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $7 over this period.

✅ Profitable
Record32-22-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size54 games
ROI+13.1%
Units Won+7.1u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-6-00.0%-72.7%
20153-2-00.0%+14.6%
20163-0-00.0%+90.9%
20173-2-00.0%+14.6%
20185-2-00.0%+36.4%
20194-2-00.0%+27.3%
20203-2-00.0%+14.6%
20214-1-00.0%+52.7%
20223-1-00.0%+43.2%
20231-3-00.0%-52.3%
20242-1-00.0%+27.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Washington franchise has historically thrived in primetime underdog spots due to a combination of organizational culture and tactical advantages that emerge under the bright lights. When playing with house money as underdogs, Washington teams have consistently shown a willingness to open up their playbook and take calculated risks they might avoid as favorites. This aggressive approach often catches opponents off-guard, particularly teams that enter these games expecting to control the tempo and game script. The franchise's defensive identity has been particularly effective in primetime spots where extra preparation time allows their coaching staff to exploit opponent weaknesses. Washington's defensive coordinators have shown a knack for crafting exotic blitz packages and coverage schemes that work especially well when opponents have inflated expectations. The psychological element cannot be understated either – this organization has often performed better when expectations are low and the pressure shifts to their opponents. The most valuable betting opportunities emerge when Washington enters primetime as road underdogs of 3-7 points, where the combination of their tactical advantages and public perception creates optimal line value. This trend carries the most weight when they're facing divisional opponents or teams coming off emotional victories, as these scenarios amplify the psychological dynamics that have historically favored the underdog role.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Washington Commanders's ATS record as primetime underdog?

The Washington Commanders have a 32-22-0 ATS record as primetime underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 59.3% ATS win rate over 54 games.

Is betting on the Washington Commanders as primetime underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Washington Commanders as primetime underdogs has been profitable with a 13.1% ROI. Despite a 0% straight-up win rate, they consistently cover the spread in these situations.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Commanders' 59.3% ATS rate as primetime underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for underdogs. Their 13.1% ROI indicates strong value in this specific betting scenario.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.