The public often underestimates the Washington Commanders in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog, the Washington Commanders hold a record of 22-10-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +31.2% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $10 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record22-10-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size32 games
ROI+31.2%
Units Won+10.0u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-2-00.0%-36.4%
20151-1-00.0%-4.5%
20163-0-00.0%+90.9%
20171-1-00.0%-4.5%
20183-1-00.0%+43.2%
20194-0-00.0%+90.9%
20203-1-00.0%+43.2%
20213-0-00.0%+90.9%
20221-1-00.0%-4.5%
20230-3-00.0%-100.0%
20242-0-00.0%+90.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Commanders' exceptional performance as home underdogs stems from their ability to thrive when expectations are lowered and external pressure is reduced. Washington has historically been a franchise that responds well to adversity, particularly when playing at FedExField where their passionate fanbase creates a legitimate home-field advantage that oddsmakers often undervalue. The team tends to play more aggressively and with greater urgency when disrespected by the betting market, leading to inspired performances that catch opponents off-guard. This trend is amplified by Washington's organizational culture of embracing the underdog mentality, dating back through multiple coaching regimes. The franchise has consistently fielded teams with solid defensive units and opportunistic offenses that can exploit overconfident opponents who may not bring their best effort against a supposedly inferior home team. The psychological edge of playing at home while being counted out creates a perfect storm for outperforming market expectations. Bettors should target this angle specifically when Washington faces divisional opponents or teams coming off emotional wins, as these scenarios often produce the most inflated lines against the home underdog. This trend carries the most weight during primetime games and late-season matchups when motivation and preparation advantages become most pronounced.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Washington Commanders's ATS record as home underdog?

The Washington Commanders have a 22-10-0 ATS record as home underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 68.8% ATS win rate over 32 games in this situation.

Is betting on the Washington Commanders as home underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Washington Commanders as home underdogs has been highly profitable with a 31.2% ROI. Their 22-10 ATS record demonstrates consistent value in this spot over the past decade.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Commanders' 68.8% ATS win rate as home underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50%. This represents one of the most profitable betting trends for the franchise during this timeframe.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.