Washington Commanders Away Underdog After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Washington Commanders show mixed results as away underdog after a win. Since 2014, they're 6-5-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +4.1%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2017 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2018 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2021 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Commanders' solid performance as away underdogs following victories stems from a psychological momentum effect that's particularly pronounced with this franchise. Washington has historically thrived when expectations are lowered, and the combination of being on the road as underdogs after a confidence-building win creates an ideal undervalued scenario. The team tends to carry forward the positive energy from their previous victory while benefiting from reduced external pressure that comes with the underdog label. This trend reflects Washington's organizational tendency to play loose and aggressive when they're not expected to win. The franchise has often performed better when flying under the radar rather than dealing with heightened expectations at home or as favorites. Their coaching staff has shown an ability to game-plan effectively for road environments when the team enters with momentum, often utilizing more creative play-calling and taking calculated risks that catch opponents off-guard. Bettors should pay attention to the margin of the previous victory and the quality of opponent. When Washington wins convincingly against decent competition, they're particularly dangerous in this spot as road underdogs. This trend matters most early in the season when sample sizes are small and public perception hasn't fully adjusted to the team's current form.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Washington Commanders's ATS record as away underdog after a win?
The Washington Commanders have a 6-5-0 ATS record as away underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to a 54.5% ATS win rate over 11 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Washington Commanders as away underdog after a win profitable?
Yes, betting on the Washington Commanders as away underdogs after a win has been profitable with a 4.1% ROI. Despite the positive ROI, they have a 0.0% straight-up win rate in these games.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is above the typical league average for underdogs, as most underdog situations hover around 50% ATS. The 54.5% ATS rate and positive ROI suggest the Commanders have been undervalued by oddsmakers in this specific scenario.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.