Washington Commanders Away Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Washington Commanders in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away underdog, the Washington Commanders are just 10-12-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -13.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +13.2%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2017 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2018 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2019 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2021 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2024 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Commanders' struggles as away underdogs stem from a franchise identity crisis that has plagued them through multiple coaching changes and quarterback carousels over the past decade. When playing on the road without the benefit of being favored, Washington often lacks the mental fortitude and leadership necessary to overcome hostile environments. The team's inconsistent offensive philosophy has made them particularly vulnerable when game scripts don't go their way early, forcing them into one-dimensional passing situations where their historically weak offensive line becomes exposed. Washington's defensive approach under various coordinators has typically been built around controlling games at home with crowd noise assistance, but this advantage evaporates on the road. The franchise's tendency to play conservative when trailing has resulted in predictable offensive outputs that savvy home teams exploit. Their special teams units have also been inconsistent contributors, failing to provide the field position advantages crucial for underdogs to stay competitive. The recent uptick in performance suggests some stability under their current regime, but bettors should remain cautious when backing Washington as road underdogs against well-coached home favorites. This trend becomes most critical in divisional road games where familiarity breeds contempt and emotional factors can override talent disparities.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Washington Commanders's ATS record as away underdog?
The Washington Commanders have a 10-12-0 ATS record as away underdogs from 2014-2024, covering the spread in 45.5% of games. They have failed to cover in 12 of their 22 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Washington Commanders as away underdog profitable?
No, betting on the Washington Commanders as away underdogs is not profitable. With a 0.0% win rate and -13.2% ROI, bettors would have lost money consistently over this 11-year period.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly below the league average, as teams typically cover around 50% of spreads. The Commanders' 45.5% cover rate and negative ROI indicate they consistently underperform expectations as away underdogs.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.