The Washington Commanders show mixed results as after a win. Since 2014, they're 24-21-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +1.8%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record24-21-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size45 games
ROI+1.8%
Units Won+0.8u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20140-3-00.0%-100.0%
20152-1-00.0%+27.3%
20162-0-00.0%+90.9%
20173-5-00.0%-28.4%
20186-3-00.0%+27.3%
20191-2-00.0%-36.4%
20202-2-00.0%-4.5%
20212-1-00.0%+27.3%
20224-2-00.0%+27.3%
20231-2-00.0%-36.4%
20241-0-00.0%+90.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Commanders' modest success against the spread following victories stems from their organizational culture of inconsistency that has plagued the franchise through multiple coaching changes and front office upheavals. This team has historically struggled with the psychological aspects of building momentum, often displaying a pattern of relaxed preparation and execution after positive results. The franchise's instability has created an environment where players and coaches haven't developed the disciplined mindset necessary to maintain peak performance levels week-to-week. Washington's tendency to face inflated point spreads after wins compounds this issue, as oddsmakers and the public often overreact to their victories given the team's reputation for underachievement. The organization's frequent quarterback changes and inconsistent offensive identity have made it difficult to establish the systematic approach needed for sustained success. Additionally, the team has often faced tougher opponents following wins, as their victories frequently come against weaker competition, setting up natural letdown spots. The slight positive return on investment suggests this trend isn't as exploitable as it might appear, but bettors should focus on fading Washington when they're favored after a win, particularly against divisional opponents where familiarity breeds contempt. This pattern matters most during the middle portion of the season when championship expectations have been tempered and motivation becomes more challenging to maintain.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Washington Commanders's ATS record as after a win?

The Washington Commanders have a 24-21-0 ATS record after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to a 53.3% ATS win rate over 45 games in this situation.

Is betting on the Washington Commanders as after a win profitable?

Betting on the Washington Commanders after a win has been slightly profitable with a 1.8% ROI. While the returns are modest, this represents a positive betting trend over the 10-year period.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Commanders' 53.3% ATS win rate after victories is above the typical 50% break-even point for spread betting. This performance suggests they have historically been undervalued by oddsmakers following wins.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.