Tennessee Titans Medium Favorite (-3.5 to -7) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Tennessee Titans in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium favorite (-3.5 to -7), the Tennessee Titans hold a record of 10-7-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +12.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $2 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2018 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2022 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Titans' success as medium favorites stems from their identity as a physical, run-heavy team that thrives when expectations align with their methodical approach. When favored by this margin, Tennessee typically faces opponents they can overpower through their ground game and defensive front, allowing them to control tempo and field position. This spread range often indicates matchups where their offensive line can establish dominance early, setting up play-action opportunities that maximize their limited but effective passing attack. Tennessee's coaching philosophy under recent regimes has emphasized taking what the defense gives them rather than forcing explosive plays. As medium favorites, they're positioned against teams that lack the personnel to consistently stop their rushing attack or generate enough offense to force the Titans into uncomfortable shootouts. The team's defensive secondary, while sometimes vulnerable to elite passing offenses, performs adequately when they can pin their ears back against overmatched opponents. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when Tennessee faces teams with poor run defense or inconsistent offensive lines. The Titans' blueprint for covering these spreads relies heavily on winning the trenches on both sides of the ball. This trend matters most in divisional games and against teams starting backup quarterbacks, where Tennessee's physical style creates the largest competitive advantage.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Tennessee Titans's ATS record as medium favorite (-3.5 to -7)?
The Tennessee Titans have a 10-7-0 ATS record when favored by 3.5 to 7 points from 2014-2024. This represents a 58.8% ATS win rate over 17 games in this betting situation.
Is betting on the Tennessee Titans as medium favorite (-3.5 to -7) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Titans as medium favorites has been profitable with a 12.3% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite the positive ROI, they have covered the spread in 58.8% of these games.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Titans' 58.8% ATS win rate as medium favorites is above the typical 50% expectation for spread betting. Their 12.3% ROI indicates strong profitability compared to the break-even point for most betting situations.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
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All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.