Tennessee Titans Medium Underdog (+3.5 to +7) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Tennessee Titans in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7), the Tennessee Titans hold a record of 11-7-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +16.7% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $3 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2020 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2024 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Titans' success as medium underdogs stems from their identity as a physical, ground-and-pound team that thrives when expectations are lowered. When bookmakers set them at this range, it typically reflects matchups against higher-profile offenses or teams with better records, creating the perfect storm for Tennessee's methodical approach to shine. The Titans excel at controlling tempo and keeping games ugly, which naturally compresses scoring and keeps them within striking distance even against superior opponents. Tennessee's coaching staff has historically embraced the underdog mentality, using it to galvanize a roster built around toughness rather than star power. Their running game becomes particularly effective when opponents expect them to abandon it while trailing, and their defense tends to rise to the occasion when facing perceived offensive juggernauts. The psychological edge of being written off while still competitive enough to win outright creates an optimal betting environment. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when Tennessee faces teams that struggle to put games away early. Their ability to hang around and cover becomes most valuable against explosive but inconsistent offenses that can't maintain drives consistently. This trend matters most in divisional games and against teams coming off emotional victories where focus might wane.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Tennessee Titans's ATS record as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7)?
The Tennessee Titans have an 11-7-0 ATS record as medium underdogs (+3.5 to +7) from 2014-2024. This represents a 61.1% cover rate in this betting situation.
Is betting on the Tennessee Titans as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Tennessee Titans as medium underdogs has been profitable with a 16.7% ROI from 2014-2024. Their 11-7 ATS record in this spot has generated consistent value for bettors.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Titans' 61.1% cover rate as medium underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for ATS betting. Their 16.7% ROI in this situation represents strong long-term profitability compared to standard expectations.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.