Tennessee Titans Large Underdog (+7.5+) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Tennessee Titans in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as large underdog (+7.5+), the Tennessee Titans hold a record of 15-4-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +50.7% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $10 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2015 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2017 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2018 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Titans' exceptional performance as large underdogs stems from their organizational culture of embracing the underdog mentality that dates back to their AFC Championship runs in the late 2010s. When facing significant point spreads, Tennessee tends to simplify their game plan around ball control and defensive fundamentals, which neutralizes talent disparities that create large spreads in the first place. Mike Vrabel's coaching philosophy particularly shines in these spots, as he's historically excelled at game-planning when his team has nothing to lose. The Titans often deploy more aggressive defensive schemes and unconventional offensive packages when they're not expected to compete, catching opponents who may be looking ahead or playing conservatively with a lead to protect. Tennessee's roster construction also favors these scenarios. Their physical running game and opportunistic defense can keep games closer than expected, even against superior teams. The psychological element cannot be understated - this franchise has built an identity around proving doubters wrong, and large spreads provide the perfect motivation for maximum effort. This trend carries the most weight in divisional games and primetime spots where motivation peaks, and when the Titans are healthy enough to execute their ground-and-pound identity effectively.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Tennessee Titans's ATS record as large underdog (+7.5+)?
The Tennessee Titans have an outstanding 15-4-0 ATS record when they are large underdogs of +7.5 points or more from 2014-2024. This represents a 78.9% ATS win rate over 19 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Tennessee Titans as large underdog (+7.5+) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Tennessee Titans as large underdogs has been highly profitable with a 50.7% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite never winning these games outright (0.0% win rate), they consistently cover the spread at an exceptional rate.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Titans' 78.9% ATS win rate as large underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for ATS betting. Their 50.7% ROI is exceptionally strong compared to the standard -110 juice that requires 52.4% just to break even.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
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All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.