The Tampa Bay Buccaneers show mixed results as vs non-conference opponent. Since 2014, they're 18-16-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +1.1%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record18-16-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size34 games
ROI+1.1%
Units Won+0.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-1-00.0%-4.5%
20151-0-00.0%+90.9%
20161-3-00.0%-52.3%
20172-2-00.0%-4.5%
20183-1-00.0%+43.2%
20193-3-00.0%-4.5%
20201-1-00.0%-4.5%
20210-3-00.0%-100.0%
20222-2-00.0%-4.5%
20231-0-00.0%+90.9%
20243-0-00.0%+90.9%

Why This Trend Exists

Tampa Bay's slightly above-average performance against non-conference opponents stems from their unique position as a franchise that has experienced dramatic swings in competitiveness over the past decade. The Buccaneers tend to approach these matchups with less emotional baggage than divisional games, allowing them to execute game plans more clinically against unfamiliar opponents. The team's coaching staff historically prepares well for non-conference games because there's less recent film to study, creating more balanced matchups where Tampa Bay's talent can shine through. Their offensive system, particularly during the Tom Brady era and beyond, has shown effectiveness against defensive schemes they don't face regularly. The lack of divisional rivalry intensity often works in Tampa Bay's favor, as they've struggled with the pressure of must-win games against familiar foes. The modest positive return on investment suggests these games offer subtle value opportunities, especially when the market overreacts to Tampa Bay's divisional struggles or recent conference performances. Sharp bettors should focus on Tampa Bay's non-conference games when they're coming off divisional losses, as the team often rebounds with more focused performances against unfamiliar opponents. This trend matters most during interconference play when Tampa Bay faces AFC opponents they haven't seen in years.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers's ATS record as vs non-conference opponent?

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have an 18-16-0 ATS record when playing against non-conference opponents from 2014-2024. This translates to a 52.9% ATS win rate over 34 games.

Is betting on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as vs non-conference opponent profitable?

Yes, betting on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers against non-conference opponents has been slightly profitable with a 1.1% ROI from 2014-2024. While the profit margin is modest, it represents positive returns over this 11-year period.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Buccaneers' 52.9% ATS win rate against non-conference opponents is above the typical 50% expectation for ATS betting. Their 1.1% ROI also beats the negative returns most bettors experience due to sportsbook juice.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.