The public often underestimates the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as underdog, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers hold a record of 25-14-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +22.4% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $9 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record25-14-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size39 games
ROI+22.4%
Units Won+8.7u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-1-00.0%-4.5%
20156-0-00.0%+90.9%
20160-1-00.0%-100.0%
20172-3-00.0%-23.6%
20182-0-00.0%+90.9%
20193-2-00.0%+14.6%
20202-2-00.0%-4.5%
20213-1-00.0%+43.2%
20223-3-00.0%-4.5%
20231-0-00.0%+90.9%
20242-1-00.0%+27.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Buccaneers' exceptional performance as underdogs stems from their franchise DNA as a team that thrives when expectations are lowered. Tampa Bay has historically been built around explosive offensive playmakers who can flip games quickly, making them particularly dangerous when oddsmakers underestimate their scoring potential. The presence of elite receivers and a vertical passing attack creates the perfect storm for covering spreads when getting points, as even moderate defensive stops can lead to quick-strike touchdowns that swing game flow dramatically. The psychological element cannot be overlooked – this organization has cultivated a "prove them wrong" mentality that manifests most clearly when facing adversity or disrespect from the betting market. Tampa Bay's coaching staff has consistently excelled at game-planning specific advantages against superior opponents, often finding mismatches that the broader market fails to recognize in its initial assessment. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when Tampa Bay enters games with chip-on-shoulder motivation, particularly against divisional rivals or in primetime spots where the narrative suggests they're overmatched. This trend carries the most weight in road games against playoff-caliber opponents, where the Buccaneers' big-play ability becomes amplified by reduced public betting support.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers's ATS record as as underdog?

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have a 25-14-0 ATS record when playing as underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 64.1% ATS win rate, covering the spread in 25 of their 39 games as underdogs.

Is betting on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as as underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as underdogs has been highly profitable with a 22.4% ROI from 2014-2024. Their 64.1% ATS win rate as underdogs significantly exceeds the break-even point needed for profitability.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Buccaneers' 64.1% ATS win rate as underdogs substantially outperforms the typical NFL average of around 50%. Their 22.4% ROI indicates they've been one of the most profitable underdog bets in the league during this period.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.