Tampa Bay Buccaneers Home After 2+ Losses Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home after 2+ losses, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are just 21-26-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -14.7% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +14.7%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2015 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2016 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2018 | 4-1-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2019 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2020 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2021 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2022 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2023 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Buccaneers' struggles as home favorites following multiple losses stem from a franchise historically prone to inconsistency and emotional volatility. Tampa Bay has long been a team that feeds off momentum, and when that momentum shifts negative through consecutive defeats, the psychological weight becomes amplified at Raymond James Stadium where fan expectations run high. The organization's tendency to make dramatic personnel and coaching changes during rough patches has created an institutional culture where adversity often spirals rather than galvanizes the team. Tampa Bay's offensive identity has traditionally relied on explosive plays and rhythm, both of which become elusive when confidence wavers. The team's defensive units have also shown susceptibility to big plays when facing pressure to perform at home, leading to inflated point spreads that don't account for their fragile mental state. The franchise's boom-or-bust nature means they're either dominating opponents or struggling to find any consistency, with little middle ground. Bettors should be particularly cautious backing Tampa Bay as home favorites when they're coming off back-to-back road losses or defeats to division rivals. This trend carries the most weight early in seasons when expectations are highest and the margin for error feels smallest to both players and coaching staff.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers's ATS record as home after 2+ losses?
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have an ATS record of 21-26-0 when playing at home after suffering 2 or more consecutive losses from 2014-2024. This translates to a 44.7% ATS win rate over 47 total games in this situation.
Is betting on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as home after 2+ losses profitable?
No, betting on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at home after 2+ losses is not profitable. The strategy shows a negative ROI of -14.7% with a 0% straight-up win rate, indicating consistent underperformance against expectations.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly below the expected 50% ATS baseline, with the Buccaneers covering the spread only 44.7% of the time in this scenario. The -14.7% ROI indicates this has been a poor betting situation for Tampa Bay over the past decade.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.