Seattle Seahawks vs Division Opponent Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Seattle Seahawks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs division opponent, the Seattle Seahawks are just 11-12-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -8.7% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +8.7%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2016 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2017 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2018 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2019 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2020 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2021 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Seahawks' mediocre divisional performance stems largely from the NFC West's unique competitive balance and Seattle's tactical vulnerabilities being exposed by familiar opponents. Division rivals have extensive film study on Seattle's tendencies, particularly their reliance on Russell Wilson's (and now Geno Smith's) improvisational skills and their defensive scheme's specific pressure points. The Cardinals, Rams, and 49ers have consistently exploited Seattle's secondary coverage gaps and their offensive line's protection issues through targeted game planning that's harder to execute against unfamiliar opponents. Seattle's home-field advantage at Lumen Field, while still significant, loses some potency against division foes who visit annually and have adapted to the crowd noise and atmosphere. The Seahawks also tend to play more conservatively in divisional matchups, often abandoning the aggressive downfield passing that makes them dangerous against non-division opponents. Their coaching staff frequently overthinks these familiar matchups, leading to predictable play-calling that savvy divisional defensive coordinators can anticipate. For bettors, the key insight is targeting Seattle as road underdogs against division rivals when the spread exceeds a field goal, as their talent often keeps games closer than expected even when their strategic approach falters. This trend matters most during the final month of the season when divisional positioning creates additional pressure and familiarity reaches its peak.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Seattle Seahawks's ATS record as vs division opponent?
The Seattle Seahawks have an 11-12-0 ATS record when playing against division opponents from 2014-2024. This translates to a 47.8% ATS win rate over 23 divisional games.
Is betting on the Seattle Seahawks as vs division opponent profitable?
No, betting on the Seattle Seahawks against division opponents has not been profitable, showing a -8.7% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing Seattle in divisional matchups.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Seahawks' 47.8% ATS win rate against division opponents is slightly below the expected 50% break-even point. Their -8.7% ROI suggests they have consistently failed to cover spreads at the rate needed for profitability in divisional games.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.