Seattle Seahawks Small Favorite (-1 to -3) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Seattle Seahawks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as small favorite (-1 to -3), the Seattle Seahawks hold a record of 8-2-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +52.7% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $5 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2018 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2024 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Seahawks' exceptional performance as small favorites stems from their defensive identity and Pete Carroll's coaching philosophy that thrives in close, competitive games. Seattle's defense historically excels at creating short fields through turnovers and field position battles, which becomes magnified when they're only laying a field goal or less. The Legion of Boom era established a culture where the team expects to dominate at home and grind out road victories through defensive pressure and opportunistic offense. Small spreads typically indicate games where oddsmakers view teams as relatively equal, but Seattle's home field advantage at Lumen Field has been consistently undervalued in these spots. The 12th Man factor creates genuine point value that often exceeds what's built into modest spreads. Additionally, Russell Wilson's prime years coincided with this sample, and his ability to extend plays and create explosive moments late in games gave Seattle an edge in contests expected to be decided by a possession. The psychological element cannot be ignored - when Seattle is favored by such small margins, they're typically playing division rivals or quality opponents where their playoff-tested experience and defensive swagger provides an intangible advantage that raw statistics don't capture. This trend carries the most weight in primetime games and divisional matchups where Seattle's defensive intensity and crowd noise create the perfect storm for covering tight numbers.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Seattle Seahawks's ATS record as small favorite (-1 to -3)?
The Seattle Seahawks have an 8-2-0 ATS record when favored by 1-3 points from 2014-2024. This represents an 80% ATS win rate in small favorite situations.
Is betting on the Seattle Seahawks as small favorite (-1 to -3) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Seahawks as small favorites has been highly profitable with a 52.7% ROI. Their 8-2 ATS record in these situations shows strong value for bettors.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Seahawks' 80% ATS win rate as small favorites significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50%. This 52.7% ROI indicates exceptional performance in close spread games.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.