The data suggests caution when backing the Seattle Seahawks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home favorite, the Seattle Seahawks are just 7-18-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -46.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +46.5%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record7-18-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size25 games
ROI-46.5%
Units Won-11.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-2-00.0%-36.4%
20150-3-00.0%-100.0%
20160-4-00.0%-100.0%
20171-0-00.0%+90.9%
20181-1-00.0%-4.5%
20191-1-00.0%-4.5%
20202-3-00.0%-23.6%
20220-3-00.0%-100.0%
20231-0-00.0%+90.9%
20240-1-00.0%-100.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The Seahawks' struggles as home favorites stem from their identity as a defensive-minded team that thrives in underdog situations. Seattle's championship DNA was forged through grinding out victories against superior opponents, not controlling games from ahead. When installed as home favorites, the team often lacks the emotional edge that made them dangerous, particularly during their Legion of Boom era when they played with a chip on their shoulder. Seattle's offensive limitations become magnified when they're expected to dictate pace and control games. The franchise has historically relied on creating short fields through defensive turnovers and special teams, rather than sustained offensive drives. As favorites, opponents can afford to be more conservative, limiting explosive plays and forcing the Seahawks into methodical drives they're not built for. The psychological weight of expectations at CenturyLink Field creates additional pressure. Home crowds expect dominant performances when Seattle is favored, but the team's grinding style doesn't always produce aesthetically pleasing victories that cover spreads. Their tendency to play down to competition level means close games regardless of talent disparity. This trend matters most when Seattle is favored by more than a field goal against divisional opponents, where familiarity breeds competitive games regardless of perceived talent gaps.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Seattle Seahawks's ATS record as home favorite?

The Seattle Seahawks have a 7-18-0 ATS record as home favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 28% of games. This represents one of the worst home favorite ATS performances in the NFL over this period.

Is betting on the Seattle Seahawks as home favorite profitable?

No, betting on the Seattle Seahawks as home favorites has been extremely unprofitable with a -46.5% ROI from 2014-2024. This means bettors would have lost nearly half their investment consistently backing Seattle at home when favored.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than the league average, as NFL home favorites typically cover around 48-52% of the time. The Seahawks' 28% cover rate as home favorites ranks among the worst in the league during this timeframe.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.