San Francisco 49ers Medium Underdog (+3.5 to +7) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the San Francisco 49ers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7), the San Francisco 49ers hold a record of 8-4-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +27.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $3 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2016 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2018 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The 49ers' excellence as medium underdogs stems from their organizational culture of resilience and tactical adaptability under Kyle Shanahan's system. When facing spreads in this range, San Francisco typically encounters teams with superior records or home field advantage, but the betting market often undervalues their defensive versatility and offensive scheme flexibility. Shanahan's ability to exploit defensive weaknesses through creative play-calling becomes particularly potent when opponents expect the 49ers to struggle, leading to game plans that catch favored teams off-guard. This franchise has historically thrived when doubted, drawing from a championship pedigree that manifests in clutch performances. The 49ers' depth across both sides of the ball allows them to weather early adversity and make crucial adjustments that swing momentum in their favor. Their defensive front can disrupt even elite offenses when given proper motivation, while their offensive system creates mismatches regardless of personnel limitations. Bettors should target 49ers medium underdog spots when they're facing divisional opponents or teams coming off impressive victories, as San Francisco consistently rises to meet heightened expectations from their opposition. This trend carries maximum value during the second half of seasons when playoff implications intensify the 49ers' competitive edge and organizational experience becomes most pronounced.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the San Francisco 49ers's ATS record as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7)?
The San Francisco 49ers have an 8-4-0 ATS record when playing as medium underdogs (+3.5 to +7 points) from 2014-2024. This represents a 66.7% ATS win rate in this betting situation.
Is betting on the San Francisco 49ers as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7) profitable?
Yes, betting on the 49ers as medium underdogs has been highly profitable with a 27.3% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite the 0.0% straight-up win rate, their strong ATS performance has generated significant returns for bettors.
How does this compare to the league average?
The 49ers' 66.7% ATS win rate as medium underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for ATS betting. Their 27.3% ROI is exceptionally strong compared to the break-even point needed for profitable sports betting.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.