The public often underestimates the San Francisco 49ers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away vs division rival, the San Francisco 49ers hold a record of 7-4-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +21.5% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $2 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record7-4-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size11 games
ROI+21.5%
Units Won+2.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20150-1-00.0%-100.0%
20171-0-00.0%+90.9%
20180-1-00.0%-100.0%
20191-0-00.0%+90.9%
20201-1-00.0%-4.5%
20211-1-00.0%-4.5%
20233-0-00.0%+90.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The 49ers' strong performance as road underdogs against division rivals stems from their organizational culture of embracing adversity and Kyle Shanahan's tactical adaptability. San Francisco has consistently built rosters with veteran leadership and playoff-tested players who thrive in hostile environments, particularly when facing familiar opponents who may overlook them due to recent struggles or injuries. Shanahan's offensive system creates unique advantages on the road against division foes who think they've solved it. His ability to deploy motion, misdirection, and personnel packages that exploit specific divisional matchups becomes amplified when oddsmakers undervalue the 49ers' preparation advantage. The team's defensive identity under DeMeco Ryans has also proven particularly effective at neutralizing home-field advantage through aggressive pass rush and coverage schemes that disrupt timing-based offenses. The psychological element cannot be ignored - this franchise has historically performed better when doubted, and division road games often present that exact scenario. Players tend to elevate their performance against familiar opponents, especially when the betting market suggests they shouldn't compete. This trend carries the most weight when the 49ers are getting points against division rivals coming off disappointing performances or dealing with key injuries that the market may be overreacting to.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the San Francisco 49ers's ATS record as away vs division rival?

The San Francisco 49ers have a 7-4-0 ATS record when playing away against division rivals from 2014-2024. This represents a strong 63.6% ATS win rate in these matchups.

Is betting on the San Francisco 49ers as away vs division rival profitable?

Yes, betting on the 49ers as away underdogs vs division rivals has been profitable with a 21.5% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite covering the spread well, their 0.0% straight-up win rate indicates they typically lose these games but keep them close.

How does this compare to the league average?

The 49ers' 63.6% ATS win rate in away division games significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50%. Their 21.5% ROI also exceeds most profitable betting trends, making this a historically strong angle.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.