The public often underestimates the San Francisco 49ers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a loss, the San Francisco 49ers hold a record of 20-13-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +15.7% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $5 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record20-13-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size33 games
ROI+15.7%
Units Won+5.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20145-1-00.0%+59.1%
20151-0-00.0%+90.9%
20162-1-00.0%+27.3%
20172-1-00.0%+27.3%
20181-1-00.0%-4.5%
20191-1-00.0%-4.5%
20201-1-00.0%-4.5%
20211-3-00.0%-52.3%
20220-1-00.0%-100.0%
20233-2-00.0%+14.6%
20243-1-00.0%+43.2%

Why This Trend Exists

The 49ers' strong bounce-back performance after losses stems from their organizational culture of accountability and systematic self-correction. Under Kyle Shanahan's leadership, the team has developed a reputation for making precise adjustments between games, particularly on the offensive side where his scheme allows for quick tactical pivots based on what went wrong in the previous contest. The franchise's emphasis on preparation and film study creates an environment where players and coaches view losses as learning opportunities rather than momentum killers. San Francisco's defensive identity also plays a crucial role in this trend. When the team suffers a defeat, their defensive unit typically responds with increased intensity and focus, often generating more pressure and creating additional turnovers in the following game. The 49ers' veteran leadership, particularly on defense, has consistently demonstrated the ability to rally teammates and refocus energy after disappointing performances. The key insight for bettors is recognizing that San Francisco's bounce-back ability is most pronounced when facing teams with similar or lower talent levels, as their superior preparation and adjustments become more apparent against less disciplined opponents. This trend carries the most weight when the 49ers are coming off division losses or games where they were favored, as these defeats tend to generate the strongest organizational response.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the San Francisco 49ers's ATS record as after a loss?

The San Francisco 49ers have a 20-13-0 against the spread (ATS) record when playing after a loss from 2014-2024. This translates to a 60.6% ATS win rate in bounce-back situations.

Is betting on the San Francisco 49ers as after a loss profitable?

Yes, betting on the 49ers after a loss has been profitable with a 15.7% return on investment (ROI). Despite their 0.0% straight-up win rate in these situations, they consistently cover the spread at a high rate.

How does this compare to the league average?

The 49ers' 60.6% ATS win rate after losses significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50%. Their 15.7% ROI in these spots indicates strong value compared to standard betting expectations.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.