Overall Receptions: 14-10-0 O/U
58.3%
Over Rate
4.12
Avg REC
3.5
Avg Line
+0.6
Avg vs Line
+11.4%
Over ROI
24
Games
Bet Overall Verdict: Bet — OVER
Receptions Over Rate by Situation
Over rate by situation. Green = above 55%, Red = below 45%, Gray = neutral.
All Receptions Situations
| Situation | O/U Record | Over % | Avg Line | Avg Actual | Over ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 14-10 | 58.3% | 3.5 | 4.12 | +11.4% |
| Away Games | 7-6 | 53.8% | 3.5 | 4.08 | +2.8% |
| Conference Games | 11-7 | 61.1% | 3.5 | 4.39 | +16.7% |
| Home Games | 7-4 | 63.6% | 3.5 | 4.18 | +21.5% |
| Last 10 Games | 6-4 | 60.0% | 3.8 | 4.6 | +14.6% |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Home
63.6% Over
Away
53.8% Over
By Line Range
Line < 1.5
—% Over
Line > 5.5
—% Over
Recent Trend
Last 5
—% Over
Last 10
60.0% Over
Other Zach Ertz Props
Washington Commanders Team Trends
View ATS records and betting trends
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Zach Ertz's overall Receptions prop record?
Zach Ertz is 14-10 O/U on Receptions props across all situations (58.3% over rate).
When does Zach Ertz go OVER on Receptions the most?
Zach Ertz's best Receptions situation is Home Games, where they hit the over 63.6% of the time.
What's Zach Ertz's average Receptions per game?
Zach Ertz averages 4.12 REC per game vs an average line of 3.5.
Which situation should I avoid betting?
Away Games is Zach Ertz's worst Receptions situation at just 53.8% over rate.
Methodology: Analysis covers 24 games. O/U results use closing lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Min 5-game sample per situation.