Overall Receiving Yards: 15-11-0 O/U
57.7%
Over Rate
37.5
Avg REC YDS
31.15
Avg Line
+6.3
Avg vs Line
+10.1%
Over ROI
26
Games
Bet Overall Verdict: Bet — OVER
Receiving Yards Over Rate by Situation
Over rate by situation. Green = above 55%, Red = below 45%, Gray = neutral.
All Receiving Yards Situations
| Situation | O/U Record | Over % | Avg Line | Avg Actual | Over ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 15-11 | 57.7% | 31.15 | 37.5 | +10.1% |
| Away Games | 7-7 | 50.0% | 31.64 | 37.57 | -4.5% |
| Conference Games | 11-9 | 55.0% | 31.65 | 39.15 | +5.0% |
| Divisional Games | 6-4 | 60.0% | 32.0 | 40.6 | +14.6% |
| Home Games | 8-4 | 66.7% | 30.58 | 37.42 | +27.3% |
| Last 10 Games | 6-4 | 60.0% | 34.8 | 42.8 | +14.6% |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Home
66.7% Over
Away
50.0% Over
By Line Range
Line < 28.5
—% Over
Line > 32.5
—% Over
Recent Trend
Last 5
—% Over
Last 10
60.0% Over
Other Zach Ertz Props
Washington Commanders Team Trends
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Zach Ertz's overall Receiving Yards prop record?
Zach Ertz is 15-11 O/U on Receiving Yards props across all situations (57.7% over rate).
When does Zach Ertz go OVER on Receiving Yards the most?
Zach Ertz's best Receiving Yards situation is Home Games, where they hit the over 66.7% of the time.
What's Zach Ertz's average Receiving Yards per game?
Zach Ertz averages 37.5 REC YDS per game vs an average line of 31.15.
Which situation should I avoid betting?
Away Games is Zach Ertz's worst Receiving Yards situation at just 50.0% over rate.
Methodology: Analysis covers 26 games. O/U results use closing lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Min 5-game sample per situation.