Will Levis has been a consistent under performer in away games, hitting just 40% of passing yards overs while averaging 177.9 yards against lines of 207.9. The -30.0 yard differential and +14.6% under ROI create a compelling fade opportunity.
Expert Analysis
Will Levis's road struggles reflect the classic young quarterback pattern of elevated pressure and diminished support systems away from home. His 177.9 yard average represents a massive 30-yard shortfall from typical betting lines, suggesting oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to his limitations in hostile environments. The Titans' offensive infrastructure compounds these issues, with limited receiving weapons and an inconsistent running game that forces Levis into predictable passing situations where defenses can tee off. His 4-6-0 record masks the severity of his underperformance—he's not just missing overs, he's missing them by significant margins. The recent 2-game over streak appears more aberrational than sustainable given the underlying fundamentals. Tennessee's offensive line struggles are magnified on the road, where communication breakdowns and crowd noise create additional pressure on an already developing quarterback. Levis's decision-making under duress remains questionable, leading to conservative game plans that cap his ceiling. The 14.6% under ROI demonstrates real value exists, particularly when considering that road underdogs like the Titans often face negative game scripts that should theoretically boost passing volume. Instead, Levis has consistently failed to capitalize, indicating deeper systemic issues that persist regardless of game situation.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 30-yard average shortfall and consistent underperformance create legitimate value, but the recent 2-game over streak introduces some caution. Target spots where Tennessee faces strong pass defenses or weather concerns that could further limit Levis's ceiling. The main risk is a potential breakout game, but his road track record suggests betting under remains the higher-probability play.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-01 | OPP | 208.5 | 212.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-24 | OPP | 188.5 | 278.0 | +89.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 184.5 | 175.0 | -9.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-30 | OPP | 195.5 | 25.0 | -170.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-08 | OPP | 239.5 | 127.0 | -112.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-31 | OPP | 217.5 | 16.0 | -201.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-11 | OPP | 205.5 | 327.0 | +121.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-19 | OPP | 212.5 | 158.0 | -54.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-12 | OPP | 222.5 | 199.0 | -23.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-02 | OPP | 204.5 | 262.0 | +57.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Will Levis's Passing Yards prop record away games?
Will Levis has gone 4-6-0 on passing yards overs in away games, hitting just 40% while averaging 177.9 yards. His under bets have generated a solid +14.6% ROI across 10 road appearances.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Will Levis Passing Yards away games?
Lean under on Will Levis passing yards props in away games. His consistent 30-yard shortfall from typical lines and strong under ROI make fading him the higher-probability play on the road.
What's Will Levis's average Passing Yards away games?
Will Levis averages 177.9 passing yards in away games, a significant 30.0 yards below typical betting lines of 207.9. This massive differential creates consistent value for under bettors.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Will Levis under bets when Tennessee faces strong pass defenses or adverse weather conditions on the road. Avoid after extended under streaks when potential regression becomes a factor.