Travis Etienne's rushing yards props have been a goldmine for under bettors, hitting just 41.4% of overs across 29 games with a brutal -21.0% ROI on the over side. His 50.9-yard average consistently falls short of the typical 54.12 line, creating sustainable value on unders with an 11.9% ROI.
Expert Analysis
The numbers tell a clear story about Etienne's role in Jacksonville's offense and the market's persistent overvaluation of his rushing production. Averaging 50.9 yards against a 54.12 line represents a meaningful 3.2-yard gap that has proven remarkably consistent across nearly two full seasons. This isn't random variance—it reflects structural factors in how the Jaguars deploy Etienne and how sportsbooks price his props. The 58.6% under rate (17-12) demonstrates genuine edge, not a small sample fluke. Jacksonville's pass-heavy approach under Doug Pederson, combined with Etienne's significant receiving role that caps his rushing attempts, creates a ceiling on his ground production. The longest under streak of six games suggests this trend has momentum and staying power. Etienne's dual-threat ability actually works against rushing yard overs, as the Jaguars frequently utilize him in space rather than between the tackles. The market appears anchored to his explosive potential rather than his actual usage patterns, creating consistent line value for sharp bettors willing to fade the public's preference for overs.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 58.6% under rate and 11.9% ROI over 29 games represents legitimate market inefficiency in Etienne's rushing props. Jacksonville's offensive scheme consistently limits his pure rushing volume in favor of receiving work. The ideal conditions are standard game scripts where the Jaguars aren't playing from behind by multiple scores. Main risk is a shift toward more ground-heavy game plans or Etienne injury creating backup opportunities.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-29 | OPP | 36.5 | 49.0 | +12.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-22 | OPP | 40.5 | 22.0 | -18.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-15 | OPP | 28.5 | 65.0 | +36.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-08 | OPP | 38.5 | 20.0 | -18.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-01 | OPP | 33.5 | 46.0 | +12.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-17 | OPP | 51.5 | 27.0 | -24.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 28.5 | 44.0 | +15.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-13 | OPP | 43.5 | -1.0 | -44.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-06 | OPP | 54.5 | 17.0 | -37.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-29 | OPP | 52.5 | 50.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-23 | OPP | 49.5 | 68.0 | +18.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-15 | OPP | 47.5 | 52.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-08 | OPP | 56.5 | 44.0 | -12.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-07 | OPP | 52.5 | 57.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-31 | OPP | 59.5 | 102.0 | +42.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Rushing Yards Prop Lines
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Travis Etienne's Rushing Yards prop record all games?
Travis Etienne has gone under his rushing yards prop in 17 of 29 games (58.6% under rate) with a 12-17 over/under record. This represents a strong trend favoring under bets with measurable consistency across multiple seasons of data.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Travis Etienne Rushing Yards all games?
Bet under on Travis Etienne's rushing yards props. The 58.6% under rate and 11.9% ROI over 29 games shows clear market inefficiency. His 50.9-yard average consistently falls short of typical lines around 54 yards, creating sustainable edge.
What's Travis Etienne's average Rushing Yards all games?
Travis Etienne averages 50.9 rushing yards per game across 29 games, which falls 3.2 yards short of the typical 54.12 line. This consistent gap between production and market expectation drives the strong under performance and betting value.
How reliable is this trend?
Bet Etienne rushing yard unders in neutral game scripts when Jacksonville isn't trailing by multiple scores. Avoid when the Jaguars face run-heavy opponents or weather conditions that force ground games, as these scenarios can inflate his attempts unexpectedly.