Terry McLaurin has hit the over in 60% of his last 10 games with a solid +14.6% ROI on over bets. While his 61.2-yard average sits just 0.4 yards below the typical 61.6 line, the consistent profitability of over bets suggests modest but persistent value on McLaurin's upside.
Expert Analysis
McLaurin's 6-4 over record reflects his role as Washington's clear WR1 in an offense that's found more consistency lately. The key insight lies in the ROI disparity—over bets have generated +14.6% returns while unders have lost -23.6%, indicating the market may be slightly undervaluing his ceiling outcomes. His 61.2-yard average against a 61.6 line appears neutral, but this masks the frequency with which McLaurin exceeds expectations when conditions align. The modest 0.4-yard differential suggests books are pricing him fairly on average production, but the over's profitability indicates they're not fully accounting for his boom potential in favorable game scripts. McLaurin's target share and red zone usage have remained stable, providing a reliable floor that makes the over mathematically favorable despite the tight average differential. The current one-game under streak is relatively meaningless given his longer patterns show more sustained over runs. The biggest risk is game script dependency—McLaurin's yardage totals can crater in blowout wins where Washington controls the clock, but his consistent target volume in competitive games has driven the over's edge.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The +14.6% ROI on overs combined with McLaurin's 60% hit rate suggests consistent but modest value on his upside. The market appears to be pricing his floor accurately but undervaluing his ceiling outcomes. Best bet in competitive games where Washington will need to throw, avoiding clear blowout spots where game script could limit passing volume.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-26 | OPP | 61.5 | 51.0 | -10.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-18 | OPP | 68.5 | 87.0 | +18.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-12 | OPP | 60.5 | 89.0 | +28.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-05 | OPP | 60.5 | 62.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-29 | OPP | 64.5 | 5.0 | -59.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-22 | OPP | 60.5 | 60.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-15 | OPP | 66.5 | 73.0 | +6.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-01 | OPP | 52.5 | 73.0 | +20.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-24 | OPP | 59.5 | 102.0 | +42.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-14 | OPP | 61.5 | 10.0 | -51.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Receiving Yards Prop Lines
Compare Terry McLaurin props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Terry McLaurin's Receiving Yards prop record last 10 games?
McLaurin has gone over his receiving yards prop in 6 of his last 10 games (60% hit rate) with a 6-4-0 over/under record. Over bets have generated a strong +14.6% ROI during this stretch.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards last 10 games?
Lean over on McLaurin's receiving yards props. The 60% hit rate and +14.6% ROI on overs suggests the market consistently undervalues his upside potential, creating modest but persistent value on over bets.
What's Terry McLaurin's average Receiving Yards last 10 games?
McLaurin has averaged 61.2 receiving yards over his last 10 games, just 0.4 yards below the typical 61.6 line. While the average appears neutral, over bets have been significantly more profitable.
How reliable is this trend?
Target McLaurin overs in competitive games where Washington projects to throw frequently. Avoid clear blowout scenarios where game script could limit passing volume and cap his yardage upside despite consistent target share.