Russell Wilson's away rushing yards props present a clear under opportunity, hitting just 46.2% overs across 13 road games. His 14.69 average sits 1.4 yards below typical lines, generating positive 2.8% ROI on unders while overs lose at -11.9%.
Expert Analysis
Wilson's road rushing struggles reflect the reality of a 36-year-old quarterback operating behind Pittsburgh's inconsistent offensive line in hostile environments. Away games typically feature more conservative game scripts, particularly when the Steelers fall behind and Wilson must prioritize pocket passing over scrambling. The 1.4-yard differential between his actual production and betting lines suggests oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to Wilson's diminished mobility in road settings. His rushing attempts often come from broken plays rather than designed runs, and away crowds can disrupt the timing that creates those scrambling opportunities. The sample size of 13 games provides statistical significance, while the recent under streak indicates this trend may be accelerating as defenses have more film on Pittsburgh's road tendencies. Wilson's rushing production becomes even more limited when the Steelers trail, as they're forced into obvious passing situations where defensive ends can pin their ears back. The consistent underperformance across various road environments suggests this isn't venue-specific but rather a systematic issue with Wilson's mobility and the team's offensive approach away from Heinz Field.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Wilson's consistent underperformance on the road, averaging 1.4 yards below typical lines, creates sustainable value on under bets. Target this when Pittsburgh is expected to trail or face strong pass rushes that limit scrambling opportunities. Main risk is a designed rushing game plan if the Steelers commit to establishing Wilson's legs early.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 13 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-11 | OPP | 14.5 | 6.0 | -8.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-21 | OPP | 9.5 | 27.0 | +17.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-15 | OPP | 8.5 | 13.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-01 | OPP | 10.5 | 3.0 | -7.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-21 | OPP | 11.5 | 10.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 13.5 | 3.0 | -10.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-16 | OPP | 25.5 | 6.0 | -19.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-10 | OPP | 26.5 | 5.0 | -21.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-03 | OPP | 22.5 | 44.0 | +21.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-13 | OPP | 21.5 | 30.0 | +8.5 | OVER |
| 2023-10-12 | OPP | 19.5 | 31.0 | +11.5 | OVER |
| 2023-10-01 | OPP | 11.5 | 13.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2023-09-24 | OPP | 14.5 | 0.0 | -14.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Rushing Yards Prop Lines
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Russell Wilson's Rushing Yards prop record away games?
Wilson's rushing yards props in away games show a 6-7-0 over/under record (46.2% overs). He averages 14.69 yards per game on the road, consistently falling short of typical 16.12 lines by 1.4 yards.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Russell Wilson Rushing Yards away games?
Bet under on Wilson's rushing yards in away games. The data shows clear value with 46.2% over rate and positive ROI on unders. His age and road struggles create consistent opportunities below inflated lines.
What's Russell Wilson's average Rushing Yards away games?
Wilson averages 14.69 rushing yards in away games compared to typical lines around 16.12 yards. This 1.4-yard gap represents the edge, as oddsmakers appear slow to adjust for his diminished road mobility.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Wilson rushing unders when Pittsburgh plays on the road, especially against strong pass rushes or when expected to trail. Avoid when the Steelers might establish early rushing attack or face weak defensive fronts.