Rhamondre Stevenson's rushing yards props in away games present a compelling under opportunity, hitting just 42.9% overs across 14 games with a -2.6 yard differential from the betting line. The Patriots running back consistently falls short of inflated road expectations, generating +9.1% ROI on unders while overs lose at -18.2%.
Expert Analysis
Stevenson's road rushing struggles stem from the Patriots' offensive limitations in hostile environments, where the team faces increased pressure to abandon the ground game when trailing. The 50.57-yard average against a 53.14 line reveals consistent market overvaluation, likely influenced by Stevenson's home performance and name recognition. New England's offensive line has historically struggled in road environments, particularly against AFC East rivals where familiarity breeds defensive success. The -2.6 differential isn't massive, but it's persistent enough to create profitable under opportunities. Stevenson's recent two-game over streak represents normal variance rather than a trend shift, especially considering his longer four-game under streak earlier in the sample. The Patriots' tendency to fall behind on the road forces them into pass-heavy game scripts, limiting Stevenson's carry volume. Road games also eliminate the comfort factor of familiar turf and crowd support that can boost rushing production. Weather conditions at road venues, particularly in cold-weather cities during late season, often favor defensive play and limit explosive rushing performances. The market continues to price Stevenson based on his ceiling rather than his road floor.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Stevenson's road rushing props offer consistent value due to market overvaluation and New England's offensive struggles away from home. Target unders when the line exceeds 52 yards or when facing strong run defenses. The main risk involves positive game script if the Patriots build an early lead, though their road offensive inconsistency makes this scenario less likely than the market suggests.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 14 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-22 | OPP | 47.5 | 60.0 | +12.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-15 | OPP | 48.5 | 69.0 | +20.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-24 | OPP | 55.5 | 13.0 | -42.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 56.5 | 74.0 | +17.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-03 | OPP | 55.5 | 16.0 | -39.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-20 | OPP | 47.5 | 18.0 | -29.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-29 | OPP | 55.5 | 43.0 | -12.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-19 | OPP | 65.5 | 23.0 | -42.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-08 | OPP | 50.5 | 120.0 | +69.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-26 | OPP | 59.5 | 98.0 | +38.5 | OVER |
| 2023-10-29 | OPP | 39.5 | 39.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-10-15 | OPP | 52.5 | 46.0 | -6.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-10-01 | OPP | 51.5 | 30.0 | -21.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-09-24 | OPP | 58.5 | 59.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Rushing Yards Prop Lines
Compare Rhamondre Stevenson props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Rhamondre Stevenson's Rushing Yards prop record away games?
Stevenson has gone over his rushing yards prop in just 6 of 14 away games (42.9%), averaging 50.57 yards against lines averaging 53.14. This creates a consistent 2.6-yard negative differential that favors under bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards away games?
Bet under on Stevenson's rushing yards in away games. The 42.9% over rate and +9.1% under ROI demonstrate clear market inefficiency. Focus on lines above 52 yards for maximum value against road-tested defensive schemes.
What's Rhamondre Stevenson's average Rushing Yards away games?
Stevenson averages 50.57 rushing yards in away games, falling 2.6 yards short of the typical 53.14 betting line. This consistent underperformance relative to market expectations creates profitable under opportunities for disciplined bettors.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Stevenson rushing unders in divisional road games and when lines exceed 52 yards. Cold weather road games and matchups against top-15 run defenses provide additional under value, especially when the Patriots are road underdogs.