Rachaad White's rushing yards props have delivered consistent over value with a 55.9% hit rate (19-15-0) and healthy +6.7% ROI across 34 games. White averages 50.06 yards against a 46.74 line, creating a meaningful +3.3 yard edge that suggests books consistently undervalue his floor.
Expert Analysis
The numbers tell a compelling story about market inefficiency with Rachaad White's rushing props. His 55.9% over rate combined with the +3.3 yard differential between his average (50.06) and typical line (46.74) indicates oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to his role evolution in Tampa Bay's offense. White's value stems from his dual-threat versatility that creates rushing opportunities through designed runs and scramble situations when passing plays break down. The +6.7% ROI on overs demonstrates this isn't just variance—it's a systematic undervaluation. However, the recent three-game under streak raises some concern about potential regression or changing usage patterns. The -15.8% ROI on unders shows how punishing it's been to fade White's rushing production. His consistency appears tied to Tampa Bay's offensive philosophy under Todd Bowles, which emphasizes balanced attack and keeps defenses honest with varied rushing looks. The key risk is that this 34-game sample spans different offensive coordinators and game scripts, so recent tactical changes could alter his rushing volume going forward.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The +3.3 yard edge and 55.9% hit rate create legitimate value, but the current three-game under streak demands caution. Target overs when White faces defenses that struggle against pass-catching backs or in games with projected competitive scripts where Tampa Bay maintains balanced offensive approaches. The main risk is potential role changes or game scripts that heavily favor passing situations.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-12 | OPP | 14.5 | 1.0 | -13.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-29 | OPP | 37.5 | 30.0 | -7.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-22 | OPP | 42.5 | 10.0 | -32.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-15 | OPP | 44.5 | 64.0 | +19.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-08 | OPP | 33.5 | 90.0 | +56.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-01 | OPP | 36.5 | 76.0 | +39.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-24 | OPP | 35.5 | 37.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 24.5 | 31.0 | +6.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-04 | OPP | 27.5 | 19.0 | -8.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-21 | OPP | 27.5 | 40.0 | +12.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-03 | OPP | 33.5 | 72.0 | +38.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-29 | OPP | 33.5 | 49.0 | +15.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-22 | OPP | 48.5 | 17.0 | -31.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-15 | OPP | 44.5 | 18.0 | -26.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-08 | OPP | 57.5 | 31.0 | -26.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Rachaad White's Rushing Yards prop record all games?
Rachaad White has gone over his rushing yards prop in 19 of 34 games (55.9%) while staying under 15 times. His overall record shows consistent over performance with no pushes recorded across this sample period.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Rachaad White Rushing Yards all games?
Lean toward betting over on White's rushing yards props. The 55.9% hit rate and +6.7% ROI on overs provide a mathematical edge, though the recent three-game under streak suggests exercising some caution with bet sizing.
What's Rachaad White's average Rushing Yards all games?
Rachaad White averages 50.06 rushing yards per game against a typical line of 46.74 yards. This +3.3 yard differential represents meaningful value and suggests oddsmakers consistently underestimate his rushing floor in Tampa Bay's offense.
How reliable is this trend?
Target White's rushing overs in competitive games where Tampa Bay maintains balanced offensive scripts. Avoid when facing elite run defenses or in potential blowout scenarios where passing volume could dramatically increase at rushing's expense.