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NFL Kansas City Chiefs QB

Patrick Mahomes

16 prop trends analyzed across 6 situations

Prop Overview (All Situations)

Passing Yards Avg: 252.33
46.2% Over 18-21 O/U
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Passing TDs Avg: 1.66
42.1% Over 16-22 O/U
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Rushing Yards Avg: 24.03
50.0% Over 18-18 O/U
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🔥 Best Prop Bet

Rushing Yards — Home Games

13-6 O/U (68.4% Over)

++30.6% ROI

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📉 Fade This Prop

Passing TDs — Home Games

6-15 O/U (28.6% Over)

-45.5% ROI

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All Patrick Mahomes Prop Trends

Passing TDs

Situation O/U Record Over % Avg Line Avg Actual Over ROI
All Games 16-22 42.1% 1.74 1.66 -19.6%
Away Games 10-7 58.8% 1.74 1.82 +12.3%
Conference Games 9-17 34.6% 1.73 1.54 -33.9%
Home Games 6-15 28.6% 1.74 1.52 -45.5%
Last 10 Games 5-5 50.0% 1.5 1.9 -4.5%

Passing Yards

Situation O/U Record Over % Avg Line Avg Actual Over ROI
All Games 18-21 46.2% 260.01 252.33 -11.9%
Away Games 7-11 38.9% 257.5 243.17 -25.8%
Conference Games 13-14 48.1% 258.69 252.7 -8.1%
Divisional Games 6-4 60.0% 258.3 279.2 +14.6%
Home Games 11-10 52.4% 262.17 260.19 +0.0%
Last 10 Games 5-5 50.0% 247.5 239.9 -4.5%

Rushing Yards

Situation O/U Record Over % Avg Line Avg Actual Over ROI
All Games 18-18 50.0% 21.0 24.03 -4.5%
Away Games 5-12 29.4% 20.79 20.53 -43.9%
Conference Games 10-15 40.0% 21.06 19.96 -23.6%
Home Games 13-6 68.4% 21.18 27.16 +30.6%
Last 10 Games 4-6 40.0% 19.2 20.8 -23.6%

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