Miles Sanders has been a consistent under performer in rushing yards props, hitting just 2 of 10 overs (20.0%) while averaging 15.7 yards against a 22.0 line. The -6.3 yard differential and current 4-game under streak signal clear value on the under side.
Expert Analysis
Sanders' rushing yards struggles stem from Carolina's offensive dysfunction and his reduced role in the Panthers' game plan. Averaging 15.7 yards against 22.0 lines reveals a fundamental disconnect between market expectations and reality. The 20% over rate isn't just bad luck—it reflects Sanders' limited touches in a passing-heavy offense that frequently trails. His 4-game under streak coincides with Carolina's continued offensive struggles, where negative game scripts force abandonment of the ground game early. The -61.8% ROI on overs demonstrates how consistently the market has overvalued Sanders' rushing upside. While regression is always possible, the underlying factors haven't changed: Carolina's offensive line remains porous, the team frequently plays from behind, and Sanders simply isn't getting the volume needed to consistently clear 20+ yard props. The 52.7% ROI on unders shows this isn't just a negative trend—it's been genuinely profitable. Sanders' rushing yards props appear systematically overpriced, likely due to name recognition from his Philadelphia days rather than current production reality.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 20% over rate and -6.3 yard differential indicate systematic overpricing of Sanders' rushing props. Target unders when lines exceed 20 yards, especially in games where Carolina is expected to trail. Main risk is a sudden offensive scheme change or injury to other skill position players increasing Sanders' workload.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-03 | OPP | 15.5 | -5.0 | -20.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-27 | OPP | 16.5 | 7.0 | -9.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-13 | OPP | 17.5 | 1.0 | -16.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-06 | OPP | 21.5 | 6.0 | -15.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-29 | OPP | 24.5 | 32.0 | +7.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-22 | OPP | 23.5 | 17.0 | -6.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-15 | OPP | 25.5 | 20.0 | -5.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-24 | OPP | 19.5 | 3.0 | -16.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-17 | OPP | 29.5 | 2.0 | -27.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-10 | OPP | 26.5 | 74.0 | +47.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Rushing Yards Prop Lines
Compare Miles Sanders props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Miles Sanders's Rushing Yards prop record last 10 games?
Miles Sanders has gone under his rushing yards prop in 8 of his last 10 games (20% over rate). He's averaging just 15.7 rushing yards against an average line of 22.0 yards, creating a -6.3 yard differential.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Miles Sanders Rushing Yards last 10 games?
Bet the under on Sanders' rushing yards props. The 20% over rate and -6.3 yard average differential show systematic overpricing. Target unders when lines are set above 20 yards for best value.
What's Miles Sanders's average Rushing Yards last 10 games?
Sanders is averaging 15.7 rushing yards over his last 10 games against an average prop line of 22.0 yards. This -6.3 yard differential demonstrates consistent underperformance relative to market expectations.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Sanders rushing yards unders when Carolina is expected to trail by 7+ points or when prop lines exceed 20 yards. Avoid in potential blowout wins where garbage time could inflate his numbers.