Mark Andrews delivers exceptional value on receiving yards overs in divisional games, hitting 63.6% with a +5.9 yard edge over market lines. His 7-4-0 record generates +21.5% ROI on overs while unders bleed -30.6%. Strong lean over in AFC North matchups.
Expert Analysis
Andrews thrives in the heightened intensity of divisional battles, where Baltimore's familiarity with opponents creates strategic advantages that boost his target share. The Ravens' offensive game plans against AFC North rivals consistently feature Andrews as a primary weapon, evidenced by his 46.45-yard average significantly outpacing the typical 40.59 lines oddsmakers set. This 5.9-yard differential represents genuine market inefficiency - books appear to undervalue how divisional games amplify Andrews' role in Baltimore's passing attack. The 63.6% over rate across 11 games demonstrates remarkable consistency, suggesting this isn't random variance but a sustainable edge rooted in game script and usage patterns. Baltimore's divisional games often become competitive affairs where Lamar Jackson leans heavily on his most trusted receiver, particularly in crucial third-down and red zone situations. The sample size provides sufficient confidence while the +21.5% ROI on overs confirms profitable exploitation potential. However, the recent one-game under streak and Andrews' injury history present minor concerns, though neither fundamentally undermines the broader divisional trend that has proven remarkably durable across multiple seasons.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Andrews' divisional dominance creates a clear statistical edge with his 46.45-yard average crushing typical lines by nearly six yards. The 63.6% hit rate and +21.5% ROI demonstrate sustainable value in AFC North games where Baltimore's game plans consistently maximize his involvement. Primary risk lies in potential injury concerns and defensive adjustments, but the trend's persistence suggests continued profitability.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 11 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-11 | OPP | 45.5 | 27.0 | -18.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-04 | OPP | 33.5 | 54.0 | +20.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-21 | OPP | 35.5 | 37.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-17 | OPP | 36.5 | 22.0 | -14.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-07 | OPP | 43.5 | 68.0 | +24.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-27 | OPP | 28.5 | 36.0 | +7.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-06 | OPP | 24.5 | 55.0 | +30.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-16 | OPP | 57.5 | 23.0 | -34.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-12 | OPP | 45.5 | 44.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-10-08 | OPP | 48.5 | 65.0 | +16.5 | OVER |
| 2023-10-01 | OPP | 47.5 | 80.0 | +32.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Mark Andrews's Receiving Yards prop record divisional games?
Andrews posts a 7-4-0 record on receiving yards overs in divisional games, hitting 63.6% with an impressive +21.5% ROI. His 46.45-yard average significantly exceeds the typical 40.59 lines, creating a consistent 5.9-yard edge over market expectations.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Mark Andrews Receiving Yards divisional games?
Bet the over on Andrews' receiving yards in divisional games. His 63.6% hit rate and +21.5% ROI demonstrate clear value, with his 46.45-yard average consistently beating lines. The trend shows sustainable edge in AFC North matchups.
What's Mark Andrews's average Receiving Yards divisional games?
Andrews averages 46.45 receiving yards in divisional games compared to typical market lines of 40.59 yards. This 5.9-yard differential represents significant value, with his divisional performance consistently exceeding oddsmaker expectations across 11 games.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Andrews receiving yards overs specifically in AFC North divisional games where his usage patterns are most predictable. The best opportunities arise when lines fail to account for Baltimore's increased reliance on Andrews against familiar division opponents.