Mark Andrews has delivered exceptional value for over bettors, hitting 58.6% of his receiving yards overs across 29 games with a commanding +11.9% ROI. The Ravens tight end averages 43.97 yards against a 40.09 line, creating nearly four yards of consistent value. This represents a clear lean over with sustainable edge.
Expert Analysis
Andrews' receiving yards trend reflects his role as Lamar Jackson's most reliable target in Baltimore's evolving offensive system. The 58.6% over rate isn't just luck—it's structural. Andrews consistently commands 15-20% target share even when the Ravens lean run-heavy, and his red zone usage creates consistent yardage floors that books struggle to price accurately. The nearly four-yard average differential suggests oddsmakers are anchoring to his 2022 injury-shortened season rather than his true talent level. What makes this trend particularly robust is Andrews' target quality—he runs more intermediate routes than typical tight ends, creating higher per-target yardage expectations. The Ravens' pace-of-play improvements under Todd Monken have increased overall passing volume, lifting all receivers including Andrews. However, the trend faces headwinds from Baltimore's commitment to running the ball in favorable game scripts and Andrews' occasional maintenance days that limit his snap count. The key risk is regression to his historical 55% over rate, but his current usage patterns suggest the edge remains intact. Andrews' chemistry with Jackson in crucial down-and-distance situations provides a skill-based foundation that transcends simple volume metrics.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The 58.6% hit rate combined with +11.9% ROI creates legitimate value, especially with Andrews averaging nearly four yards above his typical line. Target this prop when Baltimore faces pass-funnel defenses or in games with higher total expectations. The primary risk is the Ravens' game script dependency, as they'll abandon the passing game entirely in blowout victories.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-19 | OPP | 42.5 | 61.0 | +18.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-11 | OPP | 45.5 | 27.0 | -18.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-04 | OPP | 33.5 | 54.0 | +20.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-25 | OPP | 36.5 | 68.0 | +31.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-21 | OPP | 35.5 | 37.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-15 | OPP | 35.5 | 24.0 | -11.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-01 | OPP | 32.5 | 67.0 | +34.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-25 | OPP | 32.5 | 44.0 | +11.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-17 | OPP | 36.5 | 22.0 | -14.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-07 | OPP | 43.5 | 68.0 | +24.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-03 | OPP | 30.5 | 26.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-27 | OPP | 28.5 | 36.0 | +7.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-21 | OPP | 27.5 | 41.0 | +13.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-13 | OPP | 24.5 | 66.0 | +41.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-06 | OPP | 24.5 | 55.0 | +30.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Mark Andrews's Receiving Yards prop record all games?
Mark Andrews has hit the over on his receiving yards props in 17 of 29 games (58.6%) with a 17-12-0 record. This translates to a strong +11.9% ROI for over bettors, making it one of the more profitable tight end props in the market.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Mark Andrews Receiving Yards all games?
Bet the over on Mark Andrews receiving yards props. His 58.6% hit rate and +11.9% ROI provide clear value, especially when he's averaging nearly four yards above his typical line. Focus on games where Baltimore projects for higher passing volume.
What's Mark Andrews's average Receiving Yards all games?
Mark Andrews averages 43.97 receiving yards per game against an average line of 40.09 yards. This creates a consistent 3.9-yard edge that has translated into profitable betting opportunities for over bettors across a meaningful 29-game sample size.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Andrews receiving yards overs when Baltimore faces pass-funnel defenses or in games with higher projected totals. Avoid when the Ravens are heavy favorites likely to control games with their rushing attack, as game script becomes the biggest threat to his passing volume.