Kayshon Boutte's receiving yards props present a neutral betting landscape with a balanced 5-5 over/under record across 10 games. While he's averaging 36.6 yards against a 28.1-yard line for an 8.5-yard positive differential, the -4.5% ROI on both sides suggests the market has properly adjusted. The data lacks compelling directional edge.
Expert Analysis
Boutte's receiving yards performance reveals a player caught between opportunity and execution in New England's evolving offensive system. The 8.5-yard positive differential between his 36.6-yard average and the 28.1-yard line initially appears promising, but the perfectly balanced 5-5 record tells a more complex story. This suggests significant game-to-game volatility rather than consistent outperformance. The Patriots' receiving corps has undergone considerable flux this season, with Boutte's role fluctuating based on game script, opponent coverage schemes, and the health of other pass-catchers. His production appears highly matchup-dependent, explaining why both overs and unders have hit exactly 50% of the time. The recent streak of one under following alternating patterns of two-game over and under runs indicates unpredictable variance rather than sustainable trends. Without clear splits data showing favorable conditions, Boutte's props appear to be efficiently priced by the market. The dual -4.5% ROI on both sides confirms that oddsmakers have accurately captured his range of outcomes, making this a classic coin-flip proposition where game-specific factors matter more than historical trends.
Betting Verdict
PASS with LOW confidence. Boutte's perfectly balanced 5-5 record combined with identical -4.5% ROI on both sides indicates efficient market pricing. While the 8.5-yard positive differential appears attractive, the high variance and lack of predictable patterns make this a pure gamble rather than an edge play. Focus betting capital on props with clearer directional advantages.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-28 | OPP | 36.5 | 28.0 | -8.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-22 | OPP | 27.5 | 95.0 | +67.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-15 | OPP | 31.5 | 19.0 | -12.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-01 | OPP | 29.5 | 41.0 | +11.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-24 | OPP | 33.5 | 6.0 | -27.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-17 | OPP | 34.5 | 33.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 22.5 | 47.0 | +24.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-03 | OPP | 25.5 | 18.0 | -7.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-27 | OPP | 19.5 | 46.0 | +26.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-20 | OPP | 20.5 | 33.0 | +12.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kayshon Boutte's Receiving Yards prop record all games?
Boutte has gone 5-5 on receiving yards overs across 10 games this season, hitting exactly 50% with a -4.5% ROI on both sides, indicating perfectly balanced and efficiently priced props.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kayshon Boutte Receiving Yards all games?
Pass on Boutte's receiving yards props. The balanced 5-5 record and identical negative ROI on both sides show the market has this correctly priced with no clear edge either direction.
What's Kayshon Boutte's average Receiving Yards all games?
Boutte averages 36.6 receiving yards per game against a typical line of 28.1 yards, creating an 8.5-yard positive differential that's offset by high variance and efficient market pricing.
How reliable is this trend?
Avoid betting Boutte's receiving yards props without specific game-script or matchup advantages. The data shows no clear timing patterns, making these essentially coin-flip propositions regardless of when you bet.