Kareem Hunt's rushing yards have consistently disappointed bettors, going under in 60% of his last 10 games with a brutal -23.6% ROI on overs. The veteran back is averaging 39.6 yards against a 42.1 line, creating a clear 2.5-yard edge for under bettors who've profited at +14.6% ROI.
Expert Analysis
Hunt's underwhelming rushing production stems from Kansas City's pass-heavy offensive identity and his reduced role in the backfield rotation. The 29-year-old veteran has become increasingly game-script dependent, with his rushing attempts fluctuating based on opponent strength and game flow rather than consistent usage patterns. His 39.6-yard average reveals a player whose ceiling has been capped by the Chiefs' offensive philosophy, where Patrick Mahomes and the passing attack take precedence over establishing a ground game. The concerning -2.5 differential between his actual production and betting lines suggests oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to Hunt's diminished rushing role. His longest under streak of four games demonstrates how quickly he can fall into extended cold spells when the Chiefs lean heavily on their aerial attack. The 40% over rate indicates that even in favorable matchups, Hunt struggles to exceed modest rushing expectations. With Andy Reid's offense prioritizing efficiency over rushing volume, Hunt's production remains volatile and dependent on specific game situations rather than consistent workload allocation.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Hunt's 2.5-yard negative differential and 60% under rate create a sustainable edge for under bettors. The Chiefs' pass-first approach limits his rushing ceiling, making unders the preferred play when lines exceed 40 yards. Primary risk comes from potential garbage-time carries in blowout victories, but Kansas City's offensive identity strongly favors the under trend continuing.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-09 | OPP | 42.5 | 9.0 | -33.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-26 | OPP | 35.5 | 64.0 | +28.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-18 | OPP | 31.5 | 44.0 | +12.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-25 | OPP | 32.5 | 20.0 | -12.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-21 | OPP | 25.5 | 55.0 | +29.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-15 | OPP | 26.5 | 45.0 | +18.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-08 | OPP | 33.5 | 16.0 | -17.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-29 | OPP | 56.5 | 15.0 | -41.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-24 | OPP | 75.5 | 68.0 | -7.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-17 | OPP | 61.5 | 60.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Rushing Yards Prop Lines
Compare Kareem Hunt props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kareem Hunt's Rushing Yards prop record last 10 games?
Hunt has gone 4-6 over/under on rushing yards props in his last 10 games, hitting the over just 40% of the time. Under bettors have profited with a +14.6% ROI while over bettors suffered a -23.6% loss, making unders the clear winning side.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards last 10 games?
Bet under on Hunt's rushing yards. His 60% under rate and 2.5-yard negative differential create a clear edge. The Chiefs' pass-first offense consistently limits his ground production, making unders profitable when lines exceed 40 yards.
What's Kareem Hunt's average Rushing Yards last 10 games?
Hunt averages 39.6 rushing yards over his last 10 games compared to an average line of 42.1 yards. This 2.5-yard shortfall demonstrates consistent underperformance against betting expectations, creating value for under bettors.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Hunt rushing yard unders when lines are set above 40 yards, especially in games where Kansas City is favored. His production suffers most when the Chiefs control games through their passing attack rather than establishing the ground game.