Kalif Raymond's receiving yards props have delivered consistent value, hitting the over in 58.3% of games (7-5-0 record) while averaging 26.5 yards against an 18.08 line—an impressive +8.4 differential. The 11.4% ROI on overs suggests legitimate edge in a market that may be undervaluing his weekly floor.
Expert Analysis
Raymond's receiving yards props reveal a market inefficiency rooted in role perception versus reality. The Lions slot receiver consistently outperforms his modest 18.08 yard line by 8.4 yards per game, suggesting oddsmakers are pricing him as a pure gadget player rather than recognizing his steady involvement in Detroit's high-octane offense. His 58.3% over rate isn't just luck—it reflects Detroit's commitment to utilizing multiple receivers in their explosive passing attack. The +11.4% ROI on overs indicates sustainable value, while the brutal -20.4% under ROI warns against fading this trend. Raymond's role as the Lions' primary slot option provides a reliable target share that translates to consistent yardage production. The fact that he's maintained this pace across 12 games spanning over a year demonstrates persistence rather than variance. His longest over streak of five games shows he can string together productive stretches, while the longest under streak of just three games suggests rebounds come quickly. The current one-game over streak positions him well for continued production, especially given Detroit's offensive philosophy that spreads targets across multiple weapons.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Raymond's 8.4-yard average differential above his line represents genuine market mispricing rather than temporary variance. The Lions' commitment to multi-receiver sets and Raymond's established slot role create a reliable floor that consistently exceeds modest expectations. Primary risk lies in potential blowout games where Detroit abandons the passing attack early, but their competitive schedule suggests balanced game scripts that favor steady target distribution.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 12 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-17 | OPP | 7.5 | 30.0 | +22.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-03 | OPP | 20.5 | 12.0 | -8.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-27 | OPP | 22.5 | 14.0 | -8.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-15 | OPP | 16.5 | 27.0 | +10.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-08 | OPP | 17.5 | 0.0 | -17.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-30 | OPP | 14.5 | 11.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-03 | OPP | 18.5 | 0.0 | -18.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-23 | OPP | 11.5 | 90.0 | +78.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-12 | OPP | 13.5 | 46.0 | +32.5 | OVER |
| 2023-10-22 | OPP | 18.5 | 20.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2023-10-15 | OPP | 18.5 | 23.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2023-10-08 | OPP | 37.5 | 45.0 | +7.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kalif Raymond's Receiving Yards prop record all games?
Raymond holds a 7-5-0 record on receiving yards props across 12 games, hitting overs at a 58.3% clip. This translates to a profitable 11.4% ROI for over bettors while under bettors face a steep -20.4% loss rate.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kalif Raymond Receiving Yards all games?
Lean over on Raymond's receiving yards props. His consistent 8.4-yard differential above the 18.08 line, combined with an 11.4% ROI on overs, suggests the market undervalues his steady production in Detroit's multi-receiver offense.
What's Kalif Raymond's average Receiving Yards all games?
Raymond averages 26.5 receiving yards per game against his typical 18.08 line, creating a substantial +8.4 differential. This gap indicates he consistently exceeds modest market expectations by nearly half his projected total.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Raymond overs in competitive games where Detroit maintains balanced offensive attack. Avoid in potential blowouts where the Lions might abandon passing early, though their schedule typically features close contests favoring consistent target distribution.