Overall Receptions: 10-8-0 O/U
55.6%
Over Rate
1.78
Avg REC
1.5
Avg Line
+0.3
Avg vs Line
+6.1%
Over ROI
18
Games
Bet Overall Verdict: Bet — OVER
Receptions Over Rate by Situation
Over rate by situation. Green = above 55%, Red = below 45%, Gray = neutral.
All Receptions Situations
| Situation | O/U Record | Over % | Avg Line | Avg Actual | Over ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 10-8 | 55.6% | 1.5 | 1.78 | +6.1% |
| Conference Games | 7-5 | 58.3% | 1.5 | 1.75 | +11.4% |
| Last 10 Games | 6-4 | 60.0% | 1.5 | 1.8 | +14.6% |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Home
—% Over
Away
—% Over
By Line Range
Line < -0.5
—% Over
Line > 3.5
—% Over
Recent Trend
Last 5
—% Over
Last 10
60.0% Over
Other Justin Watson Props
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Justin Watson's overall Receptions prop record?
Justin Watson is 10-8 O/U on Receptions props across all situations (55.6% over rate).
When does Justin Watson go OVER on Receptions the most?
Justin Watson's best Receptions situation is Last 10 Games, where they hit the over 60.0% of the time.
What's Justin Watson's average Receptions per game?
Justin Watson averages 1.78 REC per game vs an average line of 1.5.
Which situation should I avoid betting?
Conference Games is Justin Watson's worst Receptions situation at just 58.3% over rate.
Methodology: Analysis covers 18 games. O/U results use closing lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Min 5-game sample per situation.