Overall Receiving Yards: 15-12-0 O/U
55.6%
Over Rate
25.22
Avg REC YDS
17.8
Avg Line
+7.4
Avg vs Line
+6.1%
Over ROI
27
Games
Bet Overall Verdict: Bet — OVER
Receiving Yards Over Rate by Situation
Over rate by situation. Green = above 55%, Red = below 45%, Gray = neutral.
All Receiving Yards Situations
| Situation | O/U Record | Over % | Avg Line | Avg Actual | Over ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 15-12 | 55.6% | 17.8 | 25.22 | +6.1% |
| Away Games | 7-7 | 50.0% | 17.07 | 21.07 | -4.5% |
| Conference Games | 9-10 | 47.4% | 17.13 | 20.42 | -9.6% |
| Home Games | 8-5 | 61.5% | 18.58 | 29.69 | +17.5% |
| Last 10 Games | 5-5 | 50.0% | 14.6 | 17.1 | -4.5% |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Home
61.5% Over
Away
50.0% Over
By Line Range
Line < 16.5
—% Over
Line > 20.5
—% Over
Recent Trend
Last 5
—% Over
Last 10
50.0% Over
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Justin Watson's overall Receiving Yards prop record?
Justin Watson is 15-12 O/U on Receiving Yards props across all situations (55.6% over rate).
When does Justin Watson go OVER on Receiving Yards the most?
Justin Watson's best Receiving Yards situation is Home Games, where they hit the over 61.5% of the time.
What's Justin Watson's average Receiving Yards per game?
Justin Watson averages 25.22 REC YDS per game vs an average line of 17.8.
Which situation should I avoid betting?
Conference Games is Justin Watson's worst Receiving Yards situation at just 47.4% over rate.
Methodology: Analysis covers 27 games. O/U results use closing lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Min 5-game sample per situation.