Overall Receptions: 16-11-0 O/U
59.3%
Over Rate
6.33
Avg REC
6.39
Avg Line
-0.1
Avg vs Line
+13.1%
Over ROI
27
Games
Bet Overall Verdict: Bet — OVER
Receptions Over Rate by Situation
Over rate by situation. Green = above 55%, Red = below 45%, Gray = neutral.
All Receptions Situations
| Situation | O/U Record | Over % | Avg Line | Avg Actual | Over ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 16-11 | 59.3% | 6.39 | 6.33 | +13.1% |
| Away Games | 7-7 | 50.0% | 6.29 | 6.21 | -4.5% |
| Conference Games | 11-7 | 61.1% | 6.44 | 6.78 | +16.7% |
| Home Games | 9-4 | 69.2% | 6.5 | 6.46 | +32.2% |
| Last 10 Games | 6-4 | 60.0% | 6.3 | 6.0 | +14.6% |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Home
69.2% Over
Away
50.0% Over
By Line Range
Line < 4.5
—% Over
Line > 8.5
—% Over
Recent Trend
Last 5
—% Over
Last 10
60.0% Over
Other Justin Jefferson Props
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Justin Jefferson's overall Receptions prop record?
Justin Jefferson is 16-11 O/U on Receptions props across all situations (59.3% over rate).
When does Justin Jefferson go OVER on Receptions the most?
Justin Jefferson's best Receptions situation is Home Games, where they hit the over 69.2% of the time.
What's Justin Jefferson's average Receptions per game?
Justin Jefferson averages 6.33 REC per game vs an average line of 6.39.
Which situation should I avoid betting?
Away Games is Justin Jefferson's worst Receptions situation at just 50.0% over rate.
Methodology: Analysis covers 27 games. O/U results use closing lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Min 5-game sample per situation.