Overall Receptions: 16-13-0 O/U
55.2%
Over Rate
4.48
Avg REC
4.09
Avg Line
+0.4
Avg vs Line
+5.3%
Over ROI
29
Games
Bet Overall Verdict: Bet — OVER
Receptions Over Rate by Situation
Over rate by situation. Green = above 55%, Red = below 45%, Gray = neutral.
All Receptions Situations
| Situation | O/U Record | Over % | Avg Line | Avg Actual | Over ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 16-13 | 55.2% | 4.09 | 4.48 | +5.3% |
| Away Games | 8-6 | 57.1% | 4.21 | 4.43 | +9.1% |
| Conference Games | 11-9 | 55.0% | 3.95 | 4.7 | +5.0% |
| Home Games | 8-7 | 53.3% | 3.97 | 4.53 | +1.8% |
| Last 10 Games | 5-5 | 50.0% | 4.8 | 4.5 | -4.5% |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Home
53.3% Over
Away
57.1% Over
By Line Range
Line < 2.5
—% Over
Line > 6.5
—% Over
Recent Trend
Last 5
—% Over
Last 10
50.0% Over
Other Josh Downs Props
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Josh Downs's overall Receptions prop record?
Josh Downs is 16-13 O/U on Receptions props across all situations (55.2% over rate).
When does Josh Downs go OVER on Receptions the most?
Josh Downs's best Receptions situation is Away Games, where they hit the over 57.1% of the time.
What's Josh Downs's average Receptions per game?
Josh Downs averages 4.48 REC per game vs an average line of 4.09.
Which situation should I avoid betting?
Last 10 Games is Josh Downs's worst Receptions situation at just 50.0% over rate.
Methodology: Analysis covers 29 games. O/U results use closing lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Min 5-game sample per situation.