Jerry Jeudy has been a receiving yards goldmine, crushing the over in 8 of his last 10 games with an 80% hit rate. His 96.3-yard average demolishes the typical 55.4 line by 40.9 yards per game, generating a massive 52.7% ROI on overs. This trend screams OVER.
Expert Analysis
Jerry Jeudy's receiving yards dominance stems from his elevated role in Cleveland's passing offense and favorable game scripts. The 40.9-yard differential between his actual production (96.3) and typical lines (55.4) reveals books are consistently undervaluing his output. This isn't random variance—Jeudy has established himself as a primary target, and his route-running precision creates separation even against tight coverage. The 80% over rate with only one losing under streak suggests remarkable consistency rather than boom-bust volatility. His longest over streak of five games demonstrates sustained excellence, while the brief under streak lasted just one game before reverting to form. The 52.7% ROI on overs indicates significant market inefficiency, as books appear slow to adjust to his expanded role. However, regression concerns loom—no receiver maintains this level of line-beating indefinitely. The sample size of 10 games provides solid evidence but isn't immune to variance. Weather conditions, defensive adjustments, and potential target share erosion could disrupt this trend. Still, the magnitude of his overperformance and consistency of results suggest this pattern has legs through the remaining schedule.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Jeudy's 40.9-yard average differential and 80% over rate represent clear market inefficiency that hasn't been properly corrected. Target games with favorable passing conditions and competitive game scripts where Cleveland will need to throw frequently. The primary risk is books finally adjusting lines upward or defensive coordinators specifically game-planning to limit his impact, but until that happens, the value remains strong on overs.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-04 | OPP | 55.5 | 63.0 | +7.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-29 | OPP | 48.5 | 94.0 | +45.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-22 | OPP | 60.5 | 20.0 | -40.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-15 | OPP | 70.5 | 108.0 | +37.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-08 | OPP | 69.5 | 64.0 | -5.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-02 | OPP | 59.5 | 235.0 | +175.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-21 | OPP | 48.5 | 85.0 | +36.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-17 | OPP | 48.5 | 142.0 | +93.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-03 | OPP | 46.5 | 73.0 | +26.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-27 | OPP | 46.5 | 79.0 | +32.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Jerry Jeudy's Receiving Yards prop record last 10 games?
Jerry Jeudy has gone over his receiving yards prop in 8 of his last 10 games, posting an impressive 80% over rate. His 8-2-0 record on overs has generated a 52.7% ROI, making him one of the most profitable receiving yards bets recently.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards last 10 games?
Bet the OVER on Jerry Jeudy's receiving yards props. His 96.3-yard average destroys typical 55.4 lines by 40.9 yards per game with 80% consistency. This represents clear market inefficiency that books haven't corrected, making overs the sharp play until lines adjust significantly upward.
What's Jerry Jeudy's average Receiving Yards last 10 games?
Jerry Jeudy averages 96.3 receiving yards over his last 10 games compared to typical lines around 55.4 yards. This massive 40.9-yard differential explains his dominant 80% over rate and highlights how significantly books are undervaluing his current production level in Cleveland's offense.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Jerry Jeudy receiving yards overs in favorable passing conditions with competitive game scripts. His trend works best when Cleveland faces deficits requiring aggressive passing attacks. Avoid games with severe weather, blowout potential, or when books finally adjust lines above 75-80 yards consistently.