Jared Goff's rushing yards props in away games present a compelling under opportunity, hitting just 30.0% of overs across 10 games with a brutal -42.7% ROI on the over side. His 0.3 yards per game average sits nearly a full yard below typical lines, creating consistent value on the under.
Expert Analysis
Jared Goff's rushing yard struggles away from Ford Field represent one of the most reliable prop trends in the NFL. The Lions quarterback averages a microscopic 0.3 rushing yards in road games, consistently falling short of sportsbooks' typical 1+ yard lines by nearly a full yard. This isn't variance—it's systematic. Road environments fundamentally alter Goff's approach, as increased crowd noise and hostile atmospheres force him to prioritize pocket presence over scrambling. The Lions' offensive line also performs differently on the road, providing less consistent protection that keeps Goff planted in the pocket. His three-game under streak reflects this pattern perfectly, as does the -42.7% ROI disaster for over bettors. The 70.0% under hit rate across 10 games demonstrates remarkable consistency, suggesting this trend stems from fundamental game script and playing style factors rather than random fluctuation. Goff's pocket-passing identity becomes even more pronounced in road environments where communication and timing are paramount. The Lions' road offensive philosophy emphasizes quick, precise throws over extending plays with legs, making these rushing props particularly exploitable. With no significant injury concerns or scheme changes to disrupt this pattern, the underlying factors driving Goff's road rushing limitations remain firmly intact.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Goff's 0.3 yards per road game average creates consistent line value, particularly when books set 1+ yard props. The 70.0% under rate and +33.6% under ROI reflect genuine edge rather than small sample luck. Target road games against quality pass rushes where pocket pressure keeps Goff stationary, but avoid prime time games where increased motivation might alter his approach.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-30 | OPP | 1.5 | -3.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-22 | OPP | 1.5 | -1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-03 | OPP | 1.5 | -2.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-20 | OPP | 1.5 | -4.0 | -5.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 5.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 6.0 | +5.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-28 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Rushing Yards Prop Lines
Compare Jared Goff props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Jared Goff's Rushing Yards prop record away games?
Goff's rushing yards props in away games show a 3-7-0 over/under record, hitting just 30.0% overs. This represents a 70.0% under success rate across 10 road games, making it one of the most reliable under trends for any quarterback.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Jared Goff Rushing Yards away games?
Bet the under on Goff's rushing yards in away games. His 0.3 yards per game average sits nearly a full yard below typical lines, creating consistent value. The 70.0% under rate and +33.6% ROI support this approach strongly.
What's Jared Goff's average Rushing Yards away games?
Goff averages just 0.3 rushing yards per away game compared to typical sportsbook lines around 1.2 yards. This -0.9 differential represents nearly a full yard of built-in value for under bettors in road situations consistently.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Goff rushing unders in road games against strong pass rushes or in loud environments. Avoid prime time away games where motivation might increase scrambling. The trend works best in standard 1:00 PM road starts.