Overall Receptions: 17-13-0 O/U
56.7%
Over Rate
4.53
Avg REC
4.03
Avg Line
+0.5
Avg vs Line
+8.2%
Over ROI
30
Games
Bet Overall Verdict: Bet — OVER
Receptions Over Rate by Situation
Over rate by situation. Green = above 55%, Red = below 45%, Gray = neutral.
All Receptions Situations
| Situation | O/U Record | Over % | Avg Line | Avg Actual | Over ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 17-13 | 56.7% | 4.03 | 4.53 | +8.2% |
| Away Games | 8-7 | 53.3% | 4.1 | 4.6 | +1.8% |
| Conference Games | 12-8 | 60.0% | 4.05 | 4.8 | +14.6% |
| Home Games | 9-6 | 60.0% | 3.97 | 4.47 | +14.6% |
| Last 10 Games | 4-6 | 40.0% | 4.7 | 4.1 | -23.6% |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Home
60.0% Over
Away
53.3% Over
By Line Range
Line < 2.5
—% Over
Line > 6.5
—% Over
Recent Trend
Last 5
—% Over
Last 10
40.0% Over
Other Jake Ferguson Props
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Jake Ferguson's overall Receptions prop record?
Jake Ferguson is 17-13 O/U on Receptions props across all situations (56.7% over rate).
When does Jake Ferguson go OVER on Receptions the most?
Jake Ferguson's best Receptions situation is Conference Games, where they hit the over 60.0% of the time.
What's Jake Ferguson's average Receptions per game?
Jake Ferguson averages 4.53 REC per game vs an average line of 4.03.
Which situation should I avoid betting?
Last 10 Games is Jake Ferguson's worst Receptions situation at just 40.0% over rate.
Methodology: Analysis covers 30 games. O/U results use closing lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Min 5-game sample per situation.