Dalton Schultz shows modest edge potential in away games with 8-7-0 over record (53.3%) and 3.67 average versus 3.5 line. The +0.2 differential suggests consistent slight value, though the +1.8% ROI indicates razor-thin margins requiring selective spot picking.
Expert Analysis
Schultz's away reception pattern reveals a tight-variance player who consistently hovers around his number without dramatic swings. The 3.67 average against a 3.5 line creates a mathematical edge that's meaningful over large samples, though individual game volatility remains high. His current four-game over streak suggests positive momentum, but with tight end reception props being notoriously unpredictable, this streak could reverse quickly. The absence of dramatic under streaks (longest just 2 games) indicates consistent involvement in Houston's passing attack on the road. However, the modest +1.8% ROI on overs warns against overconfidence—this isn't a slam-dunk trend but rather a marginal edge requiring careful game selection. The 53.3% hit rate sits just above the breakeven threshold, making this a volume play rather than a high-conviction spot. Schultz's role as a possession receiver creates floor stability, but his ceiling remains capped by Houston's offensive philosophy and target competition. Road games often see more passing volume due to negative game scripts, which could explain the slight over bias, but this advantage appears priced into the market given the thin ROI margins.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The 3.67 average versus 3.5 line provides consistent mathematical value, supported by a four-game over streak and absence of extended cold stretches. Best spots come when Houston faces strong run defenses or projects to trail early, forcing more passing volume. Primary risk is the thin +1.8% ROI suggesting the market has largely adjusted to this pattern.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-18 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-21 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-01 | OPP | 2.5 | 5.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-18 | OPP | 2.5 | 5.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-31 | OPP | 4.5 | 3.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-20 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-13 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-22 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-08 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-06 | OPP | 4.5 | 5.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-17 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-12 | OPP | 4.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-10-29 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-10-08 | OPP | 2.5 | 7.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2023-09-24 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Receptions Prop Lines
Compare Dalton Schultz props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Dalton Schultz's Receptions prop record away games?
Dalton Schultz has gone 8-7-0 over/under on his receptions prop in away games, hitting the over 53.3% of the time across 15 games. He's currently riding a four-game over streak with his longest under streak being just two games.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Dalton Schultz Receptions away games?
Lean over on Schultz's away receptions props, but be selective. His 3.67 average beats the typical 3.5 line, and he's shown consistent involvement without major cold stretches. Focus on games where Houston projects to trail and pass more frequently.
What's Dalton Schultz's average Receptions away games?
Schultz averages 3.67 receptions in away games compared to the standard 3.5 line, creating a +0.2 differential. This modest edge provides mathematical value over large samples, though individual game variance remains significant for tight end props.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Schultz reception overs when Houston faces strong run defenses or projects to trail early, forcing pass-heavy scripts. Avoid games against elite pass defenses or when the Texans are heavy favorites and likely to control clock with ground game.