Dalton Schultz has gone 5-5 on receiving yards props over his last 10 games, with a modest 2.7-yard edge over the betting line (36.6 actual vs 33.9 average line). The negative ROI on both sides suggests efficient market pricing. This appears to be a coin-flip prop with minimal edge either direction.
Expert Analysis
Schultz's receiving yards performance reveals a remarkably balanced market with his 50% over rate matching the theoretical expectation for efficient props. The 2.7-yard positive differential suggests slight outperformance, but the negative ROI on both sides indicates the sportsbooks have priced this accurately. His 36.6-yard average sits comfortably above typical tight end production, reflecting his role as Houston's primary receiving threat at the position. The alternating streak pattern (longest runs of just 2 games) demonstrates the volatility inherent in tight end receiving production, where game script, red zone opportunities, and target distribution can dramatically shift outcomes. Without clear splits data showing situational edges, this becomes purely a volume-based play dependent on the Texans' offensive approach. The lack of a sustained directional bias over 10 games suggests Schultz is performing close to his true talent level, making future props largely dependent on matchup-specific factors rather than exploitable trends. This type of balanced sample often indicates a player whose production has stabilized around market expectations.
Betting Verdict
PASS with LOW confidence. The perfectly balanced 5-5 record combined with negative ROI on both sides screams efficient market pricing. While Schultz shows a slight 2.7-yard edge over lines, it's not enough to overcome the juice. Without situational splits or clear directional momentum, this becomes a pure coin flip. Save your bankroll for props with clearer edges and identifiable market inefficiencies.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-18 | OPP | 38.5 | 63.0 | +24.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-11 | OPP | 32.5 | 23.0 | -9.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-25 | OPP | 38.5 | 21.0 | -17.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-21 | OPP | 33.5 | 45.0 | +11.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-15 | OPP | 31.5 | 13.0 | -18.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-01 | OPP | 27.5 | 61.0 | +33.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-24 | OPP | 27.5 | 20.0 | -7.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-18 | OPP | 29.5 | 33.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 37.5 | 66.0 | +28.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-31 | OPP | 42.5 | 21.0 | -21.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Dalton Schultz's Receiving Yards prop record last 10 games?
Dalton Schultz has gone 5-5 on receiving yards overs in his last 10 games, hitting exactly 50% with an average of 36.6 yards against a 33.9-yard average line, showing slight outperformance but balanced results overall.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards last 10 games?
Pass on Dalton Schultz receiving yards props. The 5-5 record with negative ROI on both sides indicates efficient market pricing. Without clear situational edges or directional momentum, this is essentially a coin flip not worth the juice.
What's Dalton Schultz's average Receiving Yards last 10 games?
Schultz has averaged 36.6 receiving yards over his last 10 games compared to an average line of 33.9 yards, creating a positive 2.7-yard differential that suggests slight outperformance versus market expectations.
How reliable is this trend?
Avoid betting Schultz receiving yards props without additional situational context. The balanced 10-game sample suggests efficient pricing. Wait for specific matchup advantages, injury news, or clear game script indicators before considering action on his props.