Andrei Iosivas has hit the over just 50% of the time in his last 10 games, averaging 2.1 receptions against a typical 2.2 line. The Cincinnati receiver's production sits slightly below market expectations, creating a subtle but consistent edge on the under side.
Expert Analysis
Iosivas's reception totals reveal a player whose market perception slightly exceeds his actual output. The 2.1 average against a 2.2 line represents a meaningful 4.5% gap that books haven't fully adjusted for. This differential stems from Iosivas's role as Cincinnati's third or fourth receiving option behind Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins, limiting his target ceiling even in favorable game scripts. The 50% over rate masks some volatility, with Iosivas showing streaky patterns rather than consistent production. His longest streaks of three games in either direction suggest his usage fluctuates based on game flow and defensive coverage schemes. The Bengals' pass-heavy offense creates opportunities, but Iosivas often serves as a secondary read or red-zone specialist rather than a consistent target earner. This role limitation becomes more pronounced against stronger defenses that can effectively bracket Cincinnati's primary weapons. The slight under bias appears sustainable given his current offensive hierarchy and the market's tendency to overvalue receivers on high-profile passing attacks.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The consistent 0.1 reception gap below market lines creates sustainable value, particularly when books set Iosivas at 2.5 or higher. Target spots where Cincinnati faces strong pass defenses that can limit secondary options, or when the Bengals are favored and likely to control game flow through their primary weapons rather than spreading targets widely.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-04 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-28 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-22 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-15 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-17 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-03 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-20 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-13 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Andrei Iosivas's Receptions prop record last 10 games?
Iosivas has gone 5-5 on his receptions over/under in his last 10 games, hitting exactly 50% of overs. His average of 2.1 receptions sits 0.1 below the typical 2.2 line, showing slight under bias.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Andrei Iosivas Receptions last 10 games?
Lean under on Iosivas receptions props. The consistent 0.1 reception gap below market lines provides sustainable value, especially when books set him at 2.5+ receptions in tougher matchups.
What's Andrei Iosivas's average Receptions last 10 games?
Iosivas averages 2.1 receptions over his last 10 games compared to a typical 2.2 line. This 0.1 differential represents a 4.5% gap that consistently favors under bettors.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Iosivas under bets when lines are set at 2.5+ receptions, particularly against strong pass defenses or when Cincinnati is favored and likely to rely heavily on Chase and Higgins.