Overall Receptions: 17-16-0 O/U

51.5% Over Rate
5.58 Avg REC
5.44 Avg Line
+0.1 Avg vs Line
-1.6% Over ROI
33 Games
OVER 51.5%
UNDER 48.5%
Hold Overall Verdict: Hold — WAIT

🔥 Best Situation

Divisional Games

8-3 O/U (72.7% Over)

++38.8% ROI

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📉 Worst Situation

Last 10 Games

4-6 O/U (40.0% Over)

-23.6% ROI

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Receptions Over Rate by Situation

Over rate by situation. Green = above 55%, Red = below 45%, Gray = neutral.

All Receptions Situations

Situation O/U Record Over % Avg Line Avg Actual Over ROI
All Games 17-16 51.5% 5.44 5.58 -1.6%
Away Games 9-5 64.3% 5.5 6.14 +22.7%
Conference Games 12-10 54.5% 5.41 5.68 +4.1%
Divisional Games 8-3 72.7% 5.32 6.45 +38.8%
Home Games 8-11 42.1% 5.39 5.16 -19.6%
Last 10 Games 4-6 40.0% 5.2 4.6 -23.6%

Key Splits

Home vs Away

Home 42.1% Over
Away 64.3% Over

By Line Range

Line < 3.5 —% Over
Line > 7.5 —% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 —% Over
Last 10 40.0% Over

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is A.J. Brown's overall Receptions prop record?

A.J. Brown is 17-16 O/U on Receptions props across all situations (51.5% over rate).

When does A.J. Brown go OVER on Receptions the most?

A.J. Brown's best Receptions situation is Divisional Games, where they hit the over 72.7% of the time.

What's A.J. Brown's average Receptions per game?

A.J. Brown averages 5.58 REC per game vs an average line of 5.44.

Which situation should I avoid betting?

Last 10 Games is A.J. Brown's worst Receptions situation at just 40.0% over rate.

Methodology: Analysis covers 33 games. O/U results use closing lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Min 5-game sample per situation.