Overall Receptions: 15-12-0 O/U
55.6%
Over Rate
2.89
Avg REC
2.87
Avg Line
+0.0
Avg vs Line
+6.1%
Over ROI
27
Games
Bet Overall Verdict: Bet — OVER
Receptions Over Rate by Situation
Over rate by situation. Green = above 55%, Red = below 45%, Gray = neutral.
All Receptions Situations
| Situation | O/U Record | Over % | Avg Line | Avg Actual | Over ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 15-12 | 55.6% | 2.87 | 2.89 | +6.1% |
| Away Games | 7-8 | 46.7% | 2.9 | 2.53 | -10.9% |
| Conference Games | 11-8 | 57.9% | 2.82 | 3.0 | +10.5% |
| Home Games | 8-4 | 66.7% | 2.83 | 3.33 | +27.3% |
| Last 10 Games | 6-4 | 60.0% | 2.6 | 2.8 | +14.6% |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Home
66.7% Over
Away
46.7% Over
By Line Range
Line < 0.5
—% Over
Line > 4.5
—% Over
Recent Trend
Last 5
—% Over
Last 10
60.0% Over
Other Aaron Jones Props
Minnesota Vikings Team Trends
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Aaron Jones's overall Receptions prop record?
Aaron Jones is 15-12 O/U on Receptions props across all situations (55.6% over rate).
When does Aaron Jones go OVER on Receptions the most?
Aaron Jones's best Receptions situation is Home Games, where they hit the over 66.7% of the time.
What's Aaron Jones's average Receptions per game?
Aaron Jones averages 2.89 REC per game vs an average line of 2.87.
Which situation should I avoid betting?
Away Games is Aaron Jones's worst Receptions situation at just 46.7% over rate.
Methodology: Analysis covers 27 games. O/U results use closing lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Min 5-game sample per situation.