The data suggests caution when backing the Pittsburgh Steelers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as on a 3+ game win streak, the Pittsburgh Steelers are just 37-54-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -22.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +22.4%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record37-54-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size91 games
ROI-22.4%
Units Won-20.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20143-8-00.0%-47.9%
20156-3-00.0%+27.3%
20163-3-00.0%-4.5%
20172-3-00.0%-23.6%
20185-7-00.0%-20.4%
20192-9-00.0%-65.3%
20206-5-00.0%+4.1%
20213-4-00.0%-18.2%
20223-6-00.0%-36.4%
20232-5-00.0%-45.5%
20242-1-00.0%+27.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Steelers' struggles against the spread during win streaks reflect a classic case of market overcorrection combined with Pittsburgh's historical identity as a defensive, grind-it-out team. When the Steelers string together wins, public perception often inflates their perceived dominance, leading oddsmakers to set lines that overvalue their recent success. Pittsburgh's methodical style typically produces wins through defensive stops and ball control rather than explosive offensive performances, making them vulnerable to inflated spreads that expect blowout victories. Mike Tomlin's coaching philosophy emphasizes consistency over flash, which means the Steelers rarely cover large numbers even when playing well. Their defensive-minded approach often keeps games closer than expected, particularly against divisional opponents who know their system intimately. The team's tendency to play down to competition levels becomes magnified when expectations rise during winning streaks, as they've historically struggled with the mental aspect of maintaining intensity against perceived inferior opponents. Bettors should view Pittsburgh win streaks as fade opportunities, particularly when they're favored by more than a touchdown. This trend carries the most weight during mid-season stretches when the Steelers face weaker opponents following impressive victories against quality competition.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Pittsburgh Steelers's ATS record as on a 3+ game win streak?

The Pittsburgh Steelers have a 37-54-0 ATS record when on a 3+ game win streak from 2014-2024. This translates to a 40.7% ATS win rate over 91 total games.

Is betting on the Pittsburgh Steelers as on a 3+ game win streak profitable?

No, betting on the Pittsburgh Steelers when on a 3+ game win streak is not profitable. The team has produced a -22.4% ROI over this period, meaning bettors would lose approximately 22 cents for every dollar wagered.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly below the league average of 50% ATS. The Steelers' 40.7% ATS win rate when on win streaks suggests the betting market may overvalue their momentum, making them a poor betting choice in this situation.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.