The data suggests caution when backing the Pittsburgh Steelers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs non-conference opponent, the Pittsburgh Steelers are just 22-28-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -16.0% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +16.0%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record22-28-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size50 games
ROI-16.0%
Units Won-8.0u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20143-6-00.0%-36.4%
20152-1-00.0%+27.3%
20161-1-00.0%-4.5%
20171-2-00.0%-36.4%
20184-5-00.0%-15.2%
20192-2-00.0%-4.5%
20202-3-00.0%-23.6%
20212-2-00.0%-4.5%
20221-4-00.0%-61.8%
20232-1-00.0%+27.3%
20242-1-00.0%+27.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Steelers' struggles against non-conference opponents stem from their deeply ingrained AFC North identity and preparation philosophy. Pittsburgh has built its reputation on physical, grinding football that works exceptionally well within their division's smashmouth style, but this approach often translates poorly against NFC teams that employ different offensive schemes and tempo variations. The team's defensive coordinator typically game-plans around familiar AFC offensive concepts, leaving gaps when facing unfamiliar NFC play-calling tendencies and personnel packages. Mike Tomlin's coaching staff historically over-prepares for division rivals while treating non-conference games as secondary priorities during the regular season. This creates a motivation gap where players struggle to match their typical intensity levels against unfamiliar opponents. The Steelers also tend to be conservative in their game-planning against unknown quantities, often playing not to lose rather than attacking perceived weaknesses. Bettors should target Pittsburgh as road underdogs in non-conference matchups, particularly when facing NFC teams with mobile quarterbacks or spread offensive concepts that differ significantly from AFC North norms. This trend carries the most weight during regular season non-conference games where preparation time is limited and divisional focus takes precedence.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Pittsburgh Steelers's ATS record as vs non-conference opponent?

The Pittsburgh Steelers have a 22-28-0 ATS record when facing non-conference opponents from 2014-2024. This represents a 44% ATS win rate over 50 games.

Is betting on the Pittsburgh Steelers as vs non-conference opponent profitable?

No, betting on the Pittsburgh Steelers against non-conference opponents has not been profitable, showing a -16.0% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing the Steelers in these matchups.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Steelers' 44% ATS win rate against non-conference opponents is below the expected 50% break-even point for profitable betting. This underperformance suggests they consistently fail to cover spreads in interconference games compared to league expectations.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.