Pittsburgh Steelers Large Underdog (+7.5+) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Pittsburgh Steelers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as large underdog (+7.5+), the Pittsburgh Steelers hold a record of 13-7-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +24.1% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $5 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2015 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2017 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2018 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2021 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Steelers' success as large underdogs stems from their organizational culture of defensive toughness and never backing down from a fight. Pittsburgh's identity has always been built around their defense keeping games competitive regardless of opponent quality, and this mentality becomes amplified when facing superior teams. The franchise's blue-collar ethos translates into maximum effort performances when written off by oddsmakers, particularly because head coach Mike Tomlin has consistently emphasized that his teams won't be intimidated by talent disparities. Strategically, the Steelers benefit from simplified game plans as large underdogs, allowing their defense to focus on disruption rather than complex schemes. Their pass rush becomes more aggressive knowing they have little to lose, while their offense often finds success through short, high-percentage plays that keep them within striking distance. The team's veteran leadership core historically responds well to disrespect, using large spreads as motivation rather than accepting defeat. The key insight for bettors is recognizing that Pittsburgh's defensive foundation provides a reliable floor even in mismatched situations. This trend carries the most weight in primetime games or playoff scenarios where the Steelers' experience and defensive discipline can neutralize talent gaps through execution and effort.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Pittsburgh Steelers's ATS record as large underdog (+7.5+)?
The Pittsburgh Steelers have a 13-7-0 ATS record when they are large underdogs of +7.5 points or more from 2014-2024. This represents a strong 65% ATS win rate in these situations.
Is betting on the Pittsburgh Steelers as large underdog (+7.5+) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Pittsburgh Steelers as large underdogs (+7.5+) has been highly profitable with a 24.1% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite a 0% straight-up win rate, they consistently cover the spread in these spots.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Steelers' 65% ATS win rate and 24.1% ROI as large underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% ATS. This makes them one of the most reliable large underdog plays in the NFL over this period.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
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All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.