Pittsburgh Steelers As Favorite Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Pittsburgh Steelers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as favorite, the Pittsburgh Steelers are just 10-37-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -59.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +59.4%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-5-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2015 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2016 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2018 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2019 | 0-6-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2021 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2022 | 1-5-0 | 0.0% | -68.2% |
| 2023 | 1-5-0 | 0.0% | -68.2% |
| 2024 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Steelers' historically poor performance as favorites stems from their organizational culture of playing to their competition's level, a trait that has plagued Pittsburgh for decades. This franchise consistently struggles with the mental aspect of being expected to win, often appearing flat or overconfident against inferior opponents. The Steelers' defensive-minded identity traditionally thrives as underdogs where they can play with an edge and physicality, but when favored, they tend to abandon their aggressive approach and play more conservatively. Pittsburgh's coaching philosophy under Mike Tomlin has emphasized "not living in our fears" and treating every opponent with respect, but this mindset paradoxically creates complacency when the team enters games as betting favorites. The Steelers have repeatedly shown they perform better when doubted, channeling their blue-collar identity more effectively when fighting uphill battles rather than protecting leads or meeting elevated expectations. For bettors, the key insight is recognizing that Pittsburgh's value lies almost exclusively on the underdog side, particularly in divisional games where their physical style can neutralize talent gaps. This trend matters most when the Steelers are road favorites or favored by more than a field goal, situations where their psychological disadvantage becomes most pronounced.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Pittsburgh Steelers's ATS record as as favorite?
The Pittsburgh Steelers have a 10-37-0 ATS record as favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 21.3% of games. This represents one of the worst ATS performances by any team in a specific situation over this timeframe.
Is betting on the Pittsburgh Steelers as as favorite profitable?
No, betting on the Pittsburgh Steelers as favorites has been extremely unprofitable with a -59.4% ROI from 2014-2024. Bettors would have lost nearly 60% of their investment consistently backing Pittsburgh when favored.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than the league average, where favorites typically cover around 48-52% of the time. The Steelers' 21.3% cover rate as favorites is exceptionally poor and well below what would be expected from any NFL team.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.